Çatışma, kuraklık ve ekonomik kriz kıtlık riskini artırıyor
Birbiriyle bağlantılı krizler, Nijerya, Ukrayna, Mali, Angola ve Haiti gibi ülkelerde akut gıda güvensizliğini tırmandırıyor. FEWS NET’in son değerlendirmelerine göre, kuzeydoğu Nijerya’nın Borno eyaleti, Mali’nin Kidal ve Ménaka bölgeleri ile Haiti’nin en kötü etkilenen kesimlerinde Acil Durum (IPC Aşama 4) koşulları sürüyor. Ukrayna’nın cephe hattındaki bölgeleri, Angola’nın güneyi ve Nijerya’nın kuzeyinde ise Kriz (IPC Aşama 3) seviyesinde gıda güvensizliği yaygınlaşıyor. Silahlı çatışma, zayıf yağışlar, El Niño kaynaklı kuraklık, makroekonomik bozulma ve fırlayan gıda fiyatları, özellikle yoksul sezonda hane halkının gıdaya erişimini kısıtlıyor. Bu üst üste binen şoklar, zaten kırılgan olan gıda sistemlerini ve insani yardım operasyonlarını zorluyor. Nijerya ve Mali’de güvenlik sorunu pazar işleyişini ve geçim kaynaklarını sekteye uğratırken, Ukrayna’da kış öncesi cephe yakınlarındaki maliyet artışları erişimi daha da daraltıyor. Angola’da zayıf mahsul ve erken stok tükenmesi 2026 yılına kadar krizin derinleşmesine yol açabilir. Haiti’de çete şiddeti ve enflasyon gıda akışını boğuyor. Şiddetli başa çıkma stratejilerine başvurulması ve büyük tüketim açıkları, en kötü etkilenen bölgelerde kıtlık riskini canlı tutuyor. Uluslararası toplumun eş güdümlü müdahalesi, felaketin önlenmesi için kritik önem taşıyor.
Bağlam, hikayenin etrafındaki ülke + lider + komşu hikaye ağına dayanılarak AI tarafından üretildi. Olgu içerikleri için her zaman üstteki kaynak linklerine başvurun.
Bu gündemi takip et
gelişmelerini kaçırma — ücretsiz kaydol, günlük brifinginde gör.
Zaman çizelgesi
en güncel: 10 Ağu- İnsani03 Ağu 17:49
Conflict, poor rainfall, and economic impacts drive Emergency and risk of Famine
Conflict, poor rainfall, and economic impacts drive Emergency and risk of Famine Key Messages Key Messages Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes remain widespread as the lean season peaks in July and August, driven by conflict, insecurity, high inflation linked to a deteriorating macroeconomy, high food prices, and the impact of evolving drought conditions on household access to food and income. Humanitarian food assistance is expected to mitigate the severity of outcomes to Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) through September in 12 counties in Jonglei, Unity, and Upper Nile. However, the fragile security environment and renewed armed clashes in Akobo, Nyirol, and eastern Uror are still limiting humanitarian access in remote locations. While the arrival of the main harvests in September and October will partially ease food consumption deficits through January, it will likely be insufficient to compensate for expected declines in food assistance, driving Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes across most of Jonglei, southern Upper Nile, and parts of Unity, Warrap, Lakes, and Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Akobo, Nyirol (Jonglei), Ulang, and Nasir (Upper Nile) remain in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), with some households facing Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Access remains constrained, and a recent partner assessment in Akobo West found continuing food shortages, heavy reliance on wild foods, and a Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) rate by Mid-Upper Arm Circumference (MUAC) of 22.3 percent, exceeding the Extremely Critical threshold (GAM-MUAC >15 percent). Severe outcomes are expected to persist through January 2027, as assistance declines while minimal harvests are likely due to the combined impacts of conflict, weather, and economic shocks. Akobo, Nyirol, Ulang, and Nasir counties will face a credible risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) through January. Of particular concern are households in remote locations who have limited or no access to basic health services, have lost their livelihood assets, and are entirely reliant on wild foods and limited food assistance. If conflict re-escalates and is sustained at similar or higher levels than in early 2026 and isolates populations from accessing wild foods and food assistance for a prolonged period, then Famine (IPC Phase 5) would occur. Humanitarian food assistance remains critical in mitigating widening lean season consumption gaps. Despite the fragile security environment and funding shortfalls, WFP reached nearly 875,000 people with in-kind and cash assistance in June. Distributions are expected to mitigate more severe outcomes through September in Leer, Mayendit, Panyijiar, and Rubkona (Unity); Ayod, Duk, Canal/Pigi, Fangak, Uror, and Twic East (Jonglei); Pibor of Greater Pibor Administrative Area (GPAA); and Abyei Administrative Area (Abyei). After completing May and June distributions, July distributions are temporarily on hold in Duk following the deadly attack on a humanitarian convoy on June 29 and in Akobo West due to ongoing insecurity. Distributions in Baliet remain more permanently paused due to the past looting of assistance, with many households facing large food consumption gaps in July. In Nasir, FEWS NET confirmed distribution of a 21-day food ration per person provided to households in hard-to-reach areas of Kuerentngkee, Mandeng, Nyetot (Jikmir Payam), Torkech, and Maker in mid-June, following the reopening of the Matar-Nasir humanitarian corridor. Partners are also scaling up cash and livelihood support assistance in Eastern Equatoria in response to the ongoing drought conditions. Conflict broke out again between government and opposition forces in July in parts of Jonglei and Upper Nile. The clashes were reported in Walgak (Akobo) on July 5, Panyikang on July 5, Waat (Uror) on July 6, Nasir on July 3 and 14, and Lankien (Nyirol) on July 13. These confrontations killed more than 100 people cumulatively, disrupted markets and crop production, constrained humanitarian access, and displaced at least 7,000 people. Additionally, SSPDF and UPDF forces clashed in Kajo-Keji on July 14, displacing over 10,000 people. Intercommunal conflict related to cattle raiding and revenge also intensified. In Warrap, attacks between July 3-13 across Tonj North, Tonj South, Tonj East, and Twic caused 74 deaths, the loss of over 200 cattle, and displacement of 40,000 people. In Western Bahr el Ghazal, attacks in Jur River, Wau Town, and Raja killed 12 people, raided 40 cattle, and displaced 5,000 people. Strengthening El Niño conditions are driving below-average rainfall, soil water deficits, and poor crop growth conditions over much of the country. The rainfall deficits currently rank as the driest on historical record and are expected to remain below average for the season. Combined with above-average temperatures, these deficits are stressing crops and pasture conditions, as indicated by below-average vegetation health in Eastern Equatoria, northern Central Equatoria, Lakes, Unity, southern Jonglei, and northern Upper Nile. Key informants, field monitoring, and partner assessments have further confirmed germination failure, crop wilting, and delayed planting in parts of Upper Nile; Northern Bahr el Ghazal; Warrap; Mundri, Tambura, and Nagero (Western Equatoria); and the Kapoetas and Lopa/Lafon (Eastern Equatoria). While early above-average rainfall in February and March is sustaining relatively better pasture conditions and livestock health in central Jonglei and southern Upper Nile, pastures are more rapidly deteriorating in the pastoral region of the Kapoetas (Eastern Equatoria), leading to fair to poor livestock body conditions. Continued currency depreciation and rising fuel prices are driving elevated staple food prices amid low household purchasing power. Between June and July 2026, the price of fuel increased by 5-20 percent in Rumbek Centre, Wau, Aweil Centre, Bor South and Juba, and was 60-130 percent higher than in February 2026. Rising transport costs are aggravating seasonal price increases for staple foods. Based on available market price monitoring data, the price of red sorghum per malwa (3.5 kilograms) in June was 10-32 percent higher in Rumbek Centre, Rubkona, Gogrial East, and Aweil Centre markets. While July price data is not yet available, FEWS NET weekly monitoring of Juba prices found continued increases in the price of red sorghum, up 9 percent between the first and second weeks of July. In severely conflict-affected areas, price increases are particularly sharp as supplies decline and trade flows remain disrupted. For example, FEWS NET’s rapid market assessment in Nasir found the retail price of red sorghum rose by 43 percent between June and July. eturano@fews.net Mon, 08/03/2026 - 17:49 Download the report 34
- İnsani05 Ağu 18:13
Conflict and high food prices sustain Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in the north
Conflict and high food prices sustain Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in the north Key Messages Key Messages Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes persist in inaccessible areas of the North East as escalating conflict and rising food prices continue to constrain food access and livelihood opportunities through the lean season. In Abadam, Bama, Guzamala, and Marte local government areas (LGAs), restricted movement prevents households from reaching farmland and markets, driving large food consumption gaps. The same access constraints also impede humanitarian assistance, leaving these gaps unmitigated. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persisted in July and are expected to continue across much of northern Nigeria through January 2027, as conflict disrupts livelihoods, market activity, and main season cultivation. Attacks on farming communities in Benue, Borno, Kaduna, Katsina, Niger, Plateau, Sokoto, and Zamfara states have resulted in abductions, the imposition of levies, and in extreme cases, outright bans on cultivation imposed by non-state armed groups. Because agriculture is the dominant livelihood across the region, this insecurity has significantly constrained food production: rural communities that produce maize, yam, rice, cassava, potatoes, vegetables, and other staples have repeatedly suspended farming as attacks intensified during both planting and harvest, with negative implications for national food availability. Elevated food prices are likely to widen food consumption gaps among poor households as the lean season peaks. Recent macroeconomic gains — including rising oil output, exchange-rate stabilization, increased foreign reserves, and headline inflation remaining well below its 2024 peak — have not translated into improved living conditions for most households. As the lean season approaches its peak, most poor households have depleted their food stocks and are increasingly reliant on market purchases and seasonally available wild foods. Uncertainty surrounding the escalation in the Middle East and frequent fluctuations in petroleum product prices in recent weeks have sustained high fuel costs, with knock-on effects on transportation and staple food prices, which remain significantly above the five-year average. As household reliance on market purchases peaks, these elevated prices continue to erode purchasing power and constrain food access. Deteriorating health conditions are likely to compound constrained food access and worsen nutritional outcomes among poor households through the peak of the lean season. As the wet season progresses, increased rainfall and humidity are heightening the risk of waterborne disease outbreaks: the Borno State Ministry of Health has reported more than 35,500 suspected cholera cases and 198 deaths as of July 12, with cases also now reported outside the North East, including 102 in Plateau State. For households already stretched by elevated staple prices, illness imposes a compounding burden: out-of-pocket spending on treatment and care diverts scarce cash away from food, while lost labor — whether from sick household members or the caregiving they require — erodes income from farming, casual work, and petty trade at the point in the season when these earnings are most needed. This results in further eroded purchasing power, leaving the poorest households less able to meet consumption needs even as their exposure to illness rises. kmartin@fews.net_1 Wed, 08/05/2026 - 18:13 Download the report 34
- İnsani06 Ağu 18:31
Conflict and rising costs likely to constrain food access near front lines ahead of winter
Conflict and rising costs likely to constrain food access near front lines ahead of winter Key Messages Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist in isolated frontline and Russian-occupied areas, while Stressed! (IPC Phase 2!) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected in other government-controlled frontline and near-frontline areas, driven by conflict-related disruptions to livelihoods, market access, and economic activity. Displaced, elderly, and poor households remain disproportionately affected by constrained food access. Elsewhere in the country, favorable harvest prospects, functioning markets, and continued social safety net support are expected to sustain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes. Food assistance needs are expected to increase seasonally during the winter months as household expenditures rise and income-earning opportunities decline. Escalating attacks on Black Sea ports, commercial vessels, and export logistics in July are increasing pressure on Ukraine’s agricultural sector. The July 11-13 strikes on Odesa and Chornomorsk reportedly destroyed approximately 45,000 metric tons (MT) of wheat and 9,000 MT of sunflower oil, while subsequent attacks damaged port facilities and commercial vessels, and several shipping operators subsequently suspended service. Black Sea exports are critical to Ukraine's agricultural economy, and recent disruptions have reportedly reduced grain export capacity through Black Sea ports by approximately one-third while increasing transportation costs and logistical risks, likely placing downward pressure on producer revenues. Alternative export routes through the Danube corridor, railways, and road transport remain available, but involve higher costs and lower efficiency. These disruptions are expected to reduce rural income and employment opportunities, as well as producers’ ability to finance autumn planting activities; however, they are unlikely to impact national food availability, which is expected to remain supported by the 2026 harvest. The expanding use of drones is further constraining civilian movement, market access, and livelihoods in frontline areas. Between July 1-23, ACLED recorded 4,141 drone and artillery attacks concentrated along the front line, restricting civilian mobility and economic activity. Shelling, road insecurity, and periodic shop closures are disrupting food access in some conflict-affected areas, while traders and businesses face growing transportation and operating costs. Agricultural households are also encountering greater difficulty accessing fields, hiring labor, and harvesting crops. At the same time, attacks on transportation and logistics infrastructure continue to disrupt commercial deliveries and raise transport costs. These developments are further reducing income-earning opportunities and market access for conflict-affected households, particularly those reliant on agricultural labor and small-scale production. While these disruptions will likely continue constraining livelihoods and food access in frontline areas, they are not expected to substantially affect national food availability The ongoing July–September 2026 national harvest is favorable, but localized conflict and adverse weather continue to affect agricultural incomes. Current estimates suggest Ukraine will harvest approximately 81-83 million MT of grain and oilseeds in 2026, supporting domestic food availability. Early harvest results indicate generally favorable yields for winter crops in many producing areas, with wheat yields up 59 percent year-on-year as of early July. However, localized losses remain substantial. In western oblasts, dry conditions during the March-July planting and crop development period have reduced yields in some locations, while active conflict continues to damage crops, limit field access, and disrupt harvesting activities in frontline areas. In Kherson, targeted strikes burned over 5,000 hectares of crops in June, leaving approximately 80 percent of the affected crops unharvestable. Meanwhile, persistent labor shortages are increasing production costs and constraining agricultural operations. While these factors are not expected to substantially affect national food availability, they continue to constrain agricultural incomes and rural livelihoods in affected areas. Food prices are rising faster than incomes despite moderating inflation, eroding purchasing power among poor and conflict-affected households. Inflation slowed to 7.2 percent year-on-year in June from 8.2 percent in May. However, the food basket price remained 5.6 percent higher in June than last year, driven in part by increasing prices of several domestically produced staples such as sunflower oil and bread, which rose by 20.8 percent and 19.4 percent year-on-year, respectively, in June despite sufficient national supplies of sunflower seed and wheat. Elevated production, energy, transport, and labor costs continue to push food prices upward, reducing food affordability among low-income households dependent on market purchases. The favorable 2026 harvest is expected to only partially offset these price pressures. csiegel@fews.net Thu, 08/06/2026 - 18:31 Download the report 34
- İnsani05 Ağu 14:36
Persistance de l’insécurité alimentaire d’Urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC) dans les régions de Kidal et de Ménaka
Emergency (IPC Phase 4) food insecurity persists in the Kidal and Ménaka regions Key Messages Key Messages Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected to persist in Kidal and Ménaka due to ongoing insecurity that continues to significantly disrupt economic activities, market functioning, and population movements. Large food consumption gaps and the use of severe coping strategies — including the sale of all livestock, begging, and reducing both the quantity and frequency of meals — are being reported due to limited access to food. Conditions in Ménaka are expected to improve to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) beginning in October, supported by the availability of harvests. In Kidal, however, Emergency (IPC Phase 4) is expected to persist until January due to prolonged insecurity and severe economic disruptions. In the insecure areas of Liptako-Gourma (covering parts of the Gao, Mopti, and Tomboctou regions), Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist through September 2026 due to the severe deterioration of household livelihoods and the early onset of the lean season resulting from the premature depletion of food stocks. Beginning in September, green harvests are expected to improve food availability, leading to an improvement to Stressed (IPC Phase 2). In other insecure areas and in urban centers, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to continue amid insecurity-related disruptions to economic activities and movement restrictions, which have reduced incomes and increased the cost of living. Households with limited purchasing power are resorting to coping strategies such as atypically reducing non-food expenditures, purchasing cheaper foods, and increasing borrowing. Security incidents in early July further intensified disruptions to economic activities, markets, and population movements, particularly in Kidal. Attacks carried out on July 4 by the Front for the Liberation of Azawad (FLA) coalition and Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), together with continued clashes and airstrikes since May, have further restricted movement. In Kidal, markets are operating at a reduced pace, and economic activities remain severely constrained. According to key informants, more than 50 percent of the population has fled to safer areas in the Gao and Ménaka regions or to Algeria. Elsewhere in the country, attacks targeting security forces, civilians, and vehicles along major roads continue to disrupt trade flows and population movements. The agricultural season is unfolding in a context of below-average rainfall and limited access to agricultural inputs, including fuel. Below-average cumulative rainfall in June and July, combined with poor rainfall distribution, has necessitated replanting in agricultural areas of central and southern Mali. Together with limited access to inputs and insecurity restricting access to fields, these factors reduced cultivated area by 13.2 percent as of July 20 compared with the same period last year (National Directorate of Agriculture). However, the latest seasonal forecasts indicate near-normal rainfall totals in southern Mali, supporting average agricultural production in that area. Nevertheless, the likely reduction in cultivated area, continued constraints on access to inputs, and unfavorable rainfall conditions are expected to reduce agricultural production in some localized areas by the October 2026 harvest. Despite a decline in attacks by armed groups along transport routes, national supplies remain disrupted by isolated incidents on the main trade corridors from Côte d'Ivoire and Senegal. The Dakar–Bamako corridor — the country's principal route for fuel, food commodities, and manufactured goods — continues to be heavily affected by insecurity, fewer transport convoys, and poor road conditions. These factors have reduced traffic, increased travel times, raised logistics costs, and kept trade flows below normal despite military-escorted convoys. Although fuel availability has improved during the month, fuel prices on parallel markets remain well above the official price. These supply constraints continue to keep prices elevated, reducing poor households' access to food, particularly in insecure areas where income-earning opportunities have been severely diminished. In the Kidal and Ménaka regions, both food supply and access remain severely constrained. According to key informants in Kidal, a small number of shops have reopened in the town, allowing only a very limited supply of food for households that have remained. In regional capital markets, staple cereal prices were stable or below the five-year average, except in Kidal and Ménaka, where prices were 52 percent and 32 percent above average, respectively, in June. These elevated prices further limit food access for households whose livelihoods have deteriorated significantly because of persistent insecurity, which has greatly reduced opportunities to earn income and obtain food. Food assistance continues at a limited scale because of severe funding shortfalls — only an estimated 7.8 percent of the required funding had been secured by the end of July — and difficulties accessing insecure areas, particularly in Kidal where operations remain suspended. This suspension has limited improvements in food access for households in need, especially in Ménaka and Kidal. From January through March 2026, approximately 119,000 people received food assistance in the Mopti, Tomboctou, and Gao regions, representing only 10 percent of the Food Security Cluster's target of 1.22 million people. In addition, 1,283 people received livelihood support during the same period, according to the Food Security Cluster. qhiggins@fews.net Thu, 08/06/2026 - 20:37 Download the report 34
- İnsani07 Ağu 15:18
Crisis (IPC Phase 3)-aligned outcomes are expected in the south during lean season
Crisis (IPC Phase 3)-aligned outcomes are expected in the south during lean season Key Messages Key Messages Stressed (IPC Phase 2)-aligned outcomes are expected from July to September in southern Angola, before likely deteriorating to Crisis (IPC Phase 3)-aligned outcomes in October through January 2027 due to the compounding impacts of the El Niño and early depletion of food stocks. Due to below-average March-June cereal harvests, households’ food stocks will be depleted atypically early by July. Additionally, the recent 5 percent diesel fuel subsidy cut has further elevated staple food prices, severely constraining market purchasing power. The El Niño-induced rainfall deficits will further degrade rangeland conditions and drying of water points, contributing to deteriorating livestock body conditions and lower livestock prices. As a result, livestock-to-maize terms of trade that have already declined by 66 percent will further deteriorate. The areas of highest concern are Cunene, Namibe, Huíla, and Cuando Cubango. Pockets of households that have lost their livestock or been forced to sell due to degraded rangeland conditions face Emergency (IPC Phase 4)-aligned outcomes. Herder households across southern agropastoral zones are facing declining income as livestock prices fall. Deteriorating pastures and severe water shortages in Cunene and Namibe are forcing herders into atypical transhumance toward the Namibian border, two to three months earlier than typical. This movement has oversupplied the border markets with livestock in poor body condition, causing cattle prices to collapse from 400,000 AOA per head in 2023 to 150,000 AOA in May 2026. As herder households rely heavily on the market to purchase food, a decrease in income and high food prices are severely eroding their purchasing power and heightening acute food insecurity. Fishing households face declining income due to seasonal restrictions on fishing for marine conservation. The ongoing seasonal ban on horse mackerel fishing (July-August), combined with bans three to four months per year for sardinella fishing, is severely restricting income and primary protein sources for artisanal fishing households along the coast. Affected households are diversifying into casual agricultural labor, petty trade, and salt harvesting, but income from these activities does not compensate for the loss from fishing. Fishing households’ daily earnings cover only food needs, but not essential non-food expenses, particularly the purchase of seeds for dry-season market gardening. The inability to invest in dry-season production will depress horticultural yields and keep household income and food access constrained through October. The macroeconomic situation is expected to worsen following the recent fuel subsidy cut, amid already high inflation at 10.11 percent. Although national headline inflation decelerated to 10.11 percent year-on-year in June 2026, food and non-alcoholic beverages continue to drive price pressures, accounting for 64.58 percent of total inflation. The official price of diesel rose 5.00 percent on June 13 (from 400 AOA/liter to 420 AOA/liter), immediately driving up subnational freight and transportation costs from central surplus-producing areas (Huambo, Bié) to deficit southern markets. Consequently, staple food prices in these areas remain atypically elevated during the post-harvest period, preventing typical seasonal price declines and severely eroding purchasing power for low-income households. Maize meal in Cunene reached 1,144 AOA/kilogram, over 40 percent above the five-year average. Purchasing capacity is expected to deteriorate further during the lean season. In Benguela, households displaced by the April floods living in temporary centers face a high risk of cholera transmission. Severe water, sanitation, and hygiene deficits in overcrowded accommodation centers — hosting more than 20,000 flood-displaced people — have facilitated high transmission and a localized cholera surge. Benguela remains Angola's epicenter of the cholera outbreak, accounting for 42 percent of the 1,742 cases and 34 deaths reported in May, contributing to a national cumulative total of 5,076 cases by mid-June. While the outbreak restricts the physical capacity of affected people for daily informal labor, it has not yet caused widespread disruptions to income-earning activities and market access. mratolojanahar… Fri, 08/07/2026 - 15:18 Download the report 34
- İnsani05 Ağu 10:18
La violence et les prix élevés continuent de limiter l'accès à la nourriture en Haïti
Conflict and elevated prices continue to restrict access to food in Haïti Key Messages Key Messages From July 2026 to January 2027, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to remain widespread across Haiti, while some households are expected to continue facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes in the worst-affected areas. Spring harvests are temporarily improving local food availability, but these improvements remain insufficient to offset the impacts of persistent insecurity, including population displacement, below-average income-earning opportunities, and food prices that remain well above the five-year average. The most severe outcomes are expected in the Port-au-Prince Metropolitan Area (ZMPP), particularly at internally displaced persons (IDP) sites, as well as in Lower Artibonite and in some communes of Centre (Saut-d'Eau, Mirebalais, Lascahobas) and Nord-Ouest (Bassin Bleu, Chansolme). The expansion of armed violence continues to disrupt livelihoods, agricultural production, and market functioning. In early July 2026, the expansion of armed groups into Kenscoff resulted in loss of life, the destruction of homes, and the displacement of approximately 5,840 people (1,836 households), 86 percent of whom are being hosted by host families. As the main horticultural production area supplying the ZMPP, insecurity in Kenscoff is limiting access to agricultural land, reducing area planted, disrupting harvests, and constraining the marketing of fresh produce. These disruptions are reducing market supplies in Port-au-Prince, particularly in Pétion-Ville and Delmas, while decreasing agricultural household incomes and increasing pressure on host households are contributing to persistently constrained food access among the poorest households. Spring harvests are ongoing across much of the country but are expected to remain below average. Despite cumulative rainfall totals that have generally been near average, poor spatiotemporal rainfall distribution has resulted in moisture deficits during critical stages of crop development. The most unfavorable conditions have been observed on the southern peninsula, where dry spells have caused moisture stress, reduced yields, and localized crop losses, particularly in the Tiburon commune. Despite a slight slowdown in inflation, staple food prices remain nearly 90 percent above the five-year average. The recent decline in fuel prices has reduced some transportation fares, but the impact remains limited, as prices remain above pre-March 2026 levels and insecurity along major road corridors continues to increase logistics and marketing costs. These factors are keeping food prices elevated and constraining economic access to food among very poor households. pawilliams@fews.net Mon, 08/10/2026 - 22:08 Download the report 34
- İnsani06 Ağu 15:03
Les récoltes vertes améliorent l'accès alimentaire, mais leurs effets restent limités dans les zones d'insécurité
Green harvests improve food access, but effects are limited in insecure areas Key Messages Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist in areas most affected by conflict, particularly Vakaga, Haute-Kotto, Haut-Mbomou, and Ouham-Pendé. Although agroclimatic conditions remain generally favorable across the country, insecurity continues to limit access to land and livelihoods in these areas. This is reducing area planted and could limit production volumes despite favorable growing conditions. In northern areas, high market dependence during the peak of the lean season, combined with depleted food stocks, atypically low incomes, and elevated food prices, will continue to drive food consumption gaps among poor households. Beginning in July, several central and southern areas are experiencing a gradual improvement to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. The seasonal availability of harvests and wild foods from gathering, hunting, and fishing is strengthening household food and income sources. In central, western, and southern areas of the country, green harvests of maize, groundnuts, beans, cowpeas, and squash are progressively improving food availability and reducing household market dependence. However, in conflict-affected areas, particularly Haut-Mbomou, persistent insecurity, population displacement, and disruptions to economic activities continue to constrain access to livelihoods, limiting the positive effects of seasonal improvements. Agroclimatic conditions remain favorable, with above-normal rainfall expected across most of the country between August and October, supporting favorable production prospects. According to FAO, area planted is near average in the main agricultural areas of the central and southern regions. Maize harvests, expected to begin in mid-August, should improve cereal availability, increase market supplies, and support seasonal price declines. Retail prices for locally produced maize observed in May were already at least 8 percent below May 2025 levels, reflecting adequate supplies. In contrast, in Vakaga, below-normal rainfall, combined with the persistent effects of conflict on access to land and agricultural activities, is expected to limit yields, reduce food availability, and constrain household incomes. Localized production declines are also anticipated in areas affected by insecurity. Attacks by armed groups in Vakaga and Haut-Mbomou in June continue to undermine livelihoods and access to food and income in both areas. In Am-Dafock (Vakaga) on June 29 and 30, attacks by armed groups triggered displacement, with at least 2,000 newly internally displaced people arriving in Birao, adding to a population of approximately 25,000 Sudanese refugees. According to the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, these displacements have increased needs for protection, healthcare, and access to safe drinking water. In Haut-Mbomou, continued security incidents and local tensions prompted precautionary population movements in Zémio and the displacement of more than 1,000 people to the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). These new displacements add to persistent volatility in the region, further disrupting economic activities, access to livelihoods, and market functioning. Fuel shortages were reported in several cities in July, with no known immediate cause. The shortages coincided with the July reform of the fuel import regime and seizure operations conducted in early July, which reportedly disrupted resupply. The shortages are compounding already elevated transportation costs associated with seasonal deterioration of road infrastructure, high logistics costs, and persistent security constraints. Supply difficulties are driving sharp increases in fuel prices. In Berberati, the price of a barrel of fuel reportedly increased by 61 to 152 percent, while prices charged by informal vendors reportedly increased by more than 50 percent in Bocaranga and by approximately 36 percent in Bangui. Rising fuel prices are increasing transportation costs and adding upward pressure on food prices. Fuel supplies are expected to remain irregular through September, particularly in inland cities that depend on parallel markets. qhiggins@fews.net Tue, 08/11/2026 - 13:50 Download the report 34
- İnsani10 Ağu 14:19
Les conflits armés demeurent la principale cause de l'insécurité alimentaire, dans un contexte marqué par l’aggravation d’Ebola
Conflict remains the key driver of food insecurity, in a context aggravated by Ebola Key Messages Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist in conflict-affected areas, particularly in Ituri, North Kivu, and South Kivu, in parts of Maniema and Tanganyika, as well as in Mai-Ndombe. In the eastern provinces, intensified fighting has also increased the number of people who are trapped along the front lines facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes. Despite the Season 1 harvest, insecurity continues to disrupt livelihoods and access to income. Amid elevated food prices and weak purchasing power, many poor and displaced households are struggling to meet their essential needs and are resorting to negative coping strategies, including reducing food consumption and selling productive assets. Persistent armed conflict in the eastern part of the country continues to drive large-scale population displacement. Regular clashes between the FARDC/Wazalendo and the M23/Twiraneho continue in North and South Kivu provinces, triggering new population displacements. The Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) continue attacks against civilians in North Kivu, Ituri, and Haut-Uele, while Development of Congo (CODECO) and the Convention for Popular Revolution (CRP) militias continue to clash in Djugu territory. Between May and July, the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs recorded alerts indicating more than 1.0 million new displacements. Conflict is disrupting production and market supplies, increasing food prices, reducing purchasing power, and driving households to adopt consumption-based coping strategies — including reducing meal sizes and frequency and consuming less-preferred foods — as well as other coping strategies such as purchasing food on credit. The Bundibugyo variant Ebola virus disease (BVD) outbreak continues to expand to historically high levels in the DRC, with more than 3,674 confirmed cases as of July 31. The outbreak has spread to five provinces — most recently Haut-Uele and Tshopo, in addition to North Kivu, South Kivu, and Ituri — affecting 49 health zones. Despite generally stable conditions, characterized by the continuation of agricultural and mining activities, well-supplied markets, and relatively stable prices, directly affected households remain particularly vulnerable to food insecurity. Income losses and increased healthcare expenditures are reducing their ability to access food. Although tighter public health restrictions are considered unlikely, new control measures could further disrupt livelihoods, negatively affect Season 2 production prospects, and exert upward pressure on food prices during the lean season. In North Kivu, South Kivu, and Ituri, WFP food assistance is supporting the Ebola response by facilitating containment measures. In addition to food assistance provided under the Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP), WFP has distributed more than 140,000 hot meals to Ebola patients, their contacts, and people in quarantine, as well as food rations to 23,000 people in North Kivu, South Kivu, and Ituri. These interventions, including take-home rations for households, are helping support public health measures while enabling these populations to meet their immediate food needs and limit their reliance on negative coping strategies. Despite a marked slowdown in inflation and greater stability of the CDF compared with previous years, conflict continues to keep food prices elevated in affected areas. According to the Central Bank of Congo, the monthly inflation rate stood at 3.2 percent in July 2026, while depreciation of the CDF on the parallel market was limited to 0.33 percent. However, in conflict-affected areas, persistent disruptions to trade flows and market supplies continue to exert upward pressure on prices. In Uvira, the price of maize flour increased by 9 percent compared with July 2024 and by 39 percent compared with the July 2021–2024 average, while the price of locally produced rice increased by 17 percent and 34 percent, respectively, further reducing the purchasing power of poor households. Despite the Season 1 harvest in bimodal areas, food crop production is estimated to be below average due to reductions in area planted in conflict-affected areas. Structural challenges, including seed degeneration and the proliferation of crop diseases such as cassava mosaic disease and banana wilt, are also reducing production. Although rainfall was below average between May and July in northern and central areas, soil moisture remained generally favorable due to previously recorded rainfall surpluses in these areas. However, this season’s agricultural production has not significantly improved food consumption among poor households, with food stocks well below typical levels and likely to be depleted earlier than is typical. qhiggins@fews.net Tue, 08/11/2026 - 15:19 Download the report 34