Trump'ın İran Politikası ABD'ye Stratejik Zarar Verdi
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump'ın İran politikası, hızlı zafer hedeflerken beklenmedik başarısızlıklarla sonuçlandı. İngiliz basınında yer alan analize göre, bu hamle küresel ittifaklara zarar verdi, Washington ile İsrail arasındaki gerilimi tırmandırdı ve Orta Doğu'da yeni belirsizlik alanları yarattı. Savaşın ardından yapılan değerlendirmelerde, en ağır stratejik bedeli ABD'nin ödediği vurgulandı. Söz konusu politikanın, dünyayı yeniden şekillendiren bir başarısızlık örneği olduğu belirtildi.
This summary is currently in Turkish; automated English translation is coming soon.
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Timeline
latest: 1d ago- Security22 Jun, 14:51
Trump yanlış ata oynadı! Dünyayı değiştiren hata: ABD kadar kimse zarar görmedi
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump, İran politikası ile kısa sürede zafer elde eldetmeyi hedeflerken dünyayı yeniden şekillendiren başarıslzık ile karşılaştı. İngiliz basınından yer alan analize göre, Trump'ın hamlesi ABD'nin küresel ittifaklarına zarar verdi, İsrail ile Washington arasındaki gerilimi artırdı ve Orta Doğu'da yeni belirsizliklerin kapısını araladı. Gazete, savaşın ardından en ağır stratejik bedeli ödeyen ülkenin İran değil, bizzat ABD olduğunu savunarak, “Dünyayı değiştiren hata” değerlendirmesinde bulundu.
- Security22 Jun, 17:19
'İran nükleer denetçilere izin verdi, ABD petrol yaptırımını kaldırdı'
ABD Başkan Yardımcısı JD Vance, İran'ın nükleer denetçilerin ülkeye geri dönmesine izin verdiğini söylerken ABD Hazinesi de İran'ın petrol ve petrol ürünlerine yönelik yaptırımlarım 21 Ağustos'a kadar askıya alındığını açıkladı.
- Economic24 Jun, 13:40
Trump, İran'da ABD'li denetçilerin, UAEA ekibine eşlik edeceğini açıkladı
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump'ın Uluslararası Atom Enerjisi Ajansı (UAEA) denetçileri İran'a zenginleştirilmiş uranyumu bulmak için girdiğinde, ABD'li denetçilerin de onlara eşlik edeceğini söylediği bildirildi.
- Security27 Jun, 03:08
US allows Anthropic to release Mythos AI to 'trusted' organisations
Anthropic said on Friday that the US government has allowed it to release its powerful Claude Mythos 5 artifical intelligence (AI) model to some “trusted” US organisations, partially reversing an order two weeks ago to suspend access over national security risks. More than 100 companies and institutions will now have access to Mythos 5, including many Fortune 500 companies, a source familiar with the new directive said, declining to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter. Concern that powerful AI systems could be misused by military intelligence users in China, Russia or other countries of concern has prompted US President Donald Trump’s administration to take an aggressive approach to oversight of releases of Anthropic’s and rival OpenAI’s frontier models. OpenAI said earlier in the day that it was delaying a full public launch of GPT-5.6 at the US government’s request, limiting its access to a small group of vetted partners whose details were shared with the authorities. Anthropic had abruptly disabled its most advanced AI models Mythos 5 and Fable 5 for all users after the government’s June 12 export control order. “Today, the government notified us that Mythos 5, our strongest cybersecurity model, can be redeployed to a set of US organisations that operate and defend critical infrastructure,” Anthropic said in a statement on Friday. “We’re restoring access for these organizations quickly, and we’re continuing to work with the government to expand access to Mythos 5 and make Fable 5 available for general use again,” it added. Government criticised for picking who gets access The government’s vetting of which companies can gain access to Mythos has drawn much criticism. “No one knows how these companies are picked and why everyone else is excluded,” said John Coleman, legislative counsel for the Philadelphia-based nonpartisan free speech organisation, the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression. “This is putting too much power in the hands of the government. There’s little transparency and it raises questions about the rule of law.” OpenAI boss Sam Altman echoed concerns about the government’s choosing of who gets access to top models in a post on X. Extensive safety testing “is not a bad idea. I just don’t like the idea of the government picking the customers,” he wrote. Experts have said that Mythos models, in the wrong hands, could dramatically accelerate sophisticated cyberattacks, particularly in sectors such as banking that rely on complex, interconnected, and often decades-old technology systems. A letter from USCommerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to Anthropic said there had been “significant progress” in work done by the company with the government to address “risks associated with the Covered Models”. It was not immediately clear what safeguards had been adopted. Anthropic said earlier this month that it understood the government believed there is a method of bypassing, or “jailbreaking,” a safeguard that would prevent Fable 5 from being used in identifying software vulnerabilities. No export licence needed for non-US citizens Lutnick said in the letter that an export license will no longer be needed for Mythos 5 to trusted companies and their employees who are not US citizens, or to Anthropic’s employees who are not US citizens, but licensing restrictions will remain in place for companies that are not on the approved list. The source said many of the approved companies are part of Anthropic’s Project Glasswing, which includes about 100 well-known tech companies and institutions. The government is also moving towards allowing Anthropic to release Fable soon, although a timeline is unclear, the source said. Both Fable 5 and Mythos use the same underlying AI model, but Fable 5 is designed to be widely available for public use whereas some safeguards are lifted for Mythos. Both Anthropic and OpenAI plan to go public. Anthropic’s relationship with the US government has, however, been particularly rocky. The company refused to allow the US military to use its AI models for domestic surveillance and fully autonomous weapons systems and the government retaliated by putting it on a national security blacklist. The government’s restrictions on Anthropic and OpenAI follow Trump’s signing of an executive order this month establishing a voluntary framework for AI developers to offer “covered frontier models” to the US government for up to 30 days before releasing them to trusted partners. The administration’s latest order is “a practical interim step, but leaves unresolved the larger issue of how companies can widely release updated models,” said Kate Koren, an analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington and a former Commerce Department official. “The longer there isn’t a system in place that will allow US companies to widely release new models, the more likely it is that China will be able to catch up,” she said.
- Security29 Jun, 05:49
Washington says US, Iran pausing strikes, talks to proceed
The exchanges have underscored the fragility of a Pakistan-brokered agreement to end the conflict that has killed thousands and snarled the flow of oil shipments through the vital Strait of Hormuz.
- Security30 Jun, 22:47
JD Vance: Kalıcı nükleer taahhütler bekliyoruz
ABD Başkan Yardımcısı JD Vance, İran'dan doğrulanabilir ve kalıcı nükleer taahhütler beklediklerini belirtti.
- Security01 Jul, 04:17
US lifts curbs on Anthropic's Fable, Mythos AI models
Anthropic said on Tuesday that the US Commerce Department lifted export controls on its Fable and Mythos AI models, less than three weeks after the company was ordered to suspend access to its most advanced AI models over national security risks. Washington has stepped up oversight of new model releases to identify potential threats amid concerns that advanced AI models could be misused by military intelligence in China, Russia or other countries of concern. Anthropic disabled its Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models following a June 12 export-control order. Last week, the US government allowed the company to release Mythos 5 but only to some “trusted” US organisations. “We’ve received notice that the Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. We’ll begin restoring access tomorrow,” Anthropic said in an X post. A letter to Anthropic from US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick that was seen by Reuters also said the export controls were withdrawn. Anthropic had “agreed to proactively detect and address security risks associated with the models,” Lutnick said. It had also agreed to work diligently with the US government on protocols for Mythos, Fable and future models and to inform the US government of any malicious activity, he added. US government might re-evaluate if circumstances change Lutnick, however, said that the department “reserves the right to re-evaluate the decisions made in this letter and the necessity of re-imposing a license requirement, should circumstances change or should Anthropic fail to adhere to its commitments”. Both Fable and Mythos use the same underlying AI model, but Fable is designed to be widely available for public use whereas some safeguards are lifted for Mythos. Anthropic has implemented a new safeguard that targets and blocks a technique that it believes the government viewed as a method of bypassing or “jailbreaking” Fable 5, a company source said, declining to be identified. The source, however, added that the vulnerabilities found by the technique which had concerned the government had been known and patched earlier. Experts have said that Mythos models, in the wrong hands, could dramatically accelerate sophisticated cyberattacks, particularly in sectors such as banking that rely on complex, interconnected, and often decades-old technology systems. The government’s decision on Friday to allow access to Mythos to some “trusted” US organisations came in tandem with an announcement by rival OpenAI that it had delayed a full public launch of GPT-5.6 at the US government’s request, limiting its access to a small group of vetted partners. Those government actions had drawn much criticism that the administration’s choice of which companies were worthy of being considered “trusted” was unfair and not transparent. Increased scrutiny of AI models this month began with US President Donald Trump’s signing of an executive order establishing a voluntary framework for AI developers to offer “covered frontier models” to the US government for up to 30 days before releasing them to trusted partners. Isaac Harris, executive director of the Frontier Security Institute, a nonprofit focused on AI and national security, said that Tuesday’s lifting of curbs indicated that “there’s now a process for standards for US models.” But he added: “There’s still a question mark as to how equivalently dangerous capabilities coming from China with less guardrails will be handled by the administration in the US market.” Both OpenAI and Anthropic have confidentially filed for US initial public offerings. Anthropic’s relationship with the US government has been particularly rocky this year. The Pentagon designated the company a “supply-chain risk”, preventing contractors from using Anthropic’s AI when working for the US military, after the company refused to allow its models to be used for mass domestic surveillance or fully autonomous weapons systems.
- Security01 Jul, 06:46
Anthropic Restores Claude Fable 5 After U.S. Lifts Jailbreak-Linked Export Controls
Anthropic is putting Claude Fable 5 back online worldwide. On June 30, the U.S. Commerce Department lifted the export controls it had imposed on Fable and its more tightly controlled sibling Mythos 5 about two and a half weeks earlier. Fable 5 returns to users on Wednesday, July 1, across Claude.ai, the Claude Platform, Claude Code, and Claude Cowork. Export controls restrict who can
- Security01 Jul, 09:41
US export controls lifted on powerful Anthropic AI models
Fable and Mythos are coming back online. Leading US AI company Anthropic says the US Commerce Department has lifted export controls on the AI models, less than three weeks after the company was ordered to suspend access to them over national security risks. Washington has stepped up oversight of new model releases to identify potential threats amid concerns that advanced AI models could be misused by military intelligence in China, Russia or other countries of concern.
- Security04 Jul, 08:53
Medvedev calls US aggression against Iran unprovoked
There was no justification for Washington's attack, Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman said
- Diplomatic05 Jul, 02:32
Islamabad frontrunner to host US-Iran talks
• Fresh round expected on July 11 • US, Iran trade barbs despite pause in negotiations • Trump mocks Khamenei funeral as Tehran vows justice against US, Israel • Iran warns against military activity by ‘extra-regional powers’ in Strait of Hormuz • Ghalibaf says post-war ‘realities have changed’, rejects US president’s remarks on food supplies WASHINGTON: Islamabad is emerging as the leading venue for the next round of technical negotiations between the United States and Iran, diplomatic sources told Dawn. The resumption of the talks is part of ongoing efforts to keep the diplomatic process on track and resolve longstanding disputes between Washington and Tehran. “There are two possible venues for the technical talks — Islamabad and the Burgenstock resort in Switzerland,” one diplomatic source said. “Islamabad, however, is the more likely option.” The technical talks are expected to take place on July 11, although a final decision on the venue has yet to be announced. According to diplomatic sources, the negotiations will focus on Iran’s nuclear programme, sanctions relief and Iranian assets frozen abroad. The discussions are also expected to address regional security issues, including efforts to preserve stability in the Strait of Hormuz and maintain the recently agreed ceasefire in Lebanon. The July 11 meeting is intended to advance the framework established under the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, signed two weeks ago, which gave both sides 60 days to negotiate a comprehensive agreement on Iran’s nuclear programme and related issues. The talks were temporarily delayed because of the multi-day state funeral ceremonies for Iran’s late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iranian officials have indicated that the composition of Tehran’s delegation will be announced after the funeral ceremonies conclude. The latest diplomatic efforts follow indirect technical discussions held in Doha earlier this week. US President Donald Trump described those talks as “very good”, while Iranian officials said the two sides had reached an understanding on the partial release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets. US officials, however, reportedly disputed that any such agreement had been reached. Diplomatic sources said mediators from Qatar and Pakistan continued to facilitate indirect contacts during the pause in negotiations, with discussions focusing on ensuring freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and preserving the 60-day ceasefire agreed after June negotiations in Switzerland. The most recent high-level negotiations were held at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort and were mediated by Qatar and Pakistan. Those talks produced what negotiators described as a roadmap for reaching a broader agreement covering Iran’s nuclear programme, sanctions relief, maritime security and regional de-escalation. Diplomatic sources said marathon negotiating sessions addressed nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, security in the Strait of Hormuz and the Lebanon ceasefire. Although negotiators reported progress, they cautioned that the process remained fragile amid continuing tensions between Washington and Tehran. Officials familiar with the negotiations said the next round of high-level direct talks is expected to take place in Doha during the third week of July, after technical teams complete work on the details of a possible agreement. US, Iran trade fresh barbs Meanwhile, Washington and Tehran continued to exchange sharp verbal barbs during Khamenei’s funeral. Speaking at an Independence Day event at Mount Rushmore, President Trump mocked the funeral ceremony, saying Washington had “given Iran a week off for a funeral because we’re nice”. “We beat Venezuela in one day, and we knocked the hell out of Iran. They are dying to settle; they want to settle so badly,” he said during a speech marking the start of celebrations for the 250th anniversary of the US, Al Jazeera reported on Saturday. “We gave them a week off for a funeral because we are nice,” he added. He also claimed that Tehran was “dying to settle”. Meanwhile, Iran’s foreign ministry said Tehran would seek justice against the US and Israel, adding that this would “remain an enduring cause”, according to Al Jazeera. It also said the presence of high-level delegations from across the region and around the world at the farewell ceremonies for the late supreme leader was a clear indication of his stature and the greatness of the Iranian people. Meanwhile, the commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy said that “divine retribution” against the US and Israel was “not far off”, according to the state-run IRNA news agency. In a message, IRGC Navy chief Rear Admiral Ali Ozmaei said he and his personnel “pledge to God that, by following the ideals of the martyrs, we will continue the path of the martyred leader of the Ummah with strength and steadfastness”. “We have firm hope that divine retribution against the terrorist America and the illegitimate Zionist regime [Israel] is not far off,” he added. ‘Extra-regional powers’ Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi issued a strong warning against any military activity by “extra-regional powers” in the Strait of Hormuz, emphasising that Tehran would hold those responsible for creating tensions “fully accountable” for their actions. “The Strait of Hormuz is not a theatre for the military display of extra-regional powers,” Gharibabadi said in a post on X. “Iran, as the responsible power and guarantor of the Strait’s security, warns against any military movement in this waterway with the utmost seriousness,” he added. In another development, Iranian parliament speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hit back at US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks on Iran’s food situation. In an interview with CNBC, Trump repeated his claim that Iran would buy agricultural products from the US as part of any future peace deal, a claim Tehran has denied. In a post on X, Ghalibaf responded by dismissing the US president’s assertions. “Imagine having 40-something million of your own citizens on food stamps and calling another nation hungry,” he said. Ghalibaf further said the US must recognise that “realities have changed” following the Israeli-US war against Iran during a meeting with Uzbekistan’s parliamentary speaker, according to Al Jazeera. He said “conditions have improved compared to the past” and that post-war developments had forced Washington to accept “existing realities”. “In such an environment, trade relations can be expanded further, and we hope that the groundwork for lifting sanctions will also be prepared,” he added. Ghalibaf further said that with the joint management of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz by Iran and Oman, and a reduction in “American mischief” in the region, better prospects would emerge for transit cooperation. —With input from Agencies Published in Dawn, July 5th, 2026
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ilgili gelişmeler- Ortak aktörcanlı
Trump'ın 100 Milyar Dolarlık İran Savaşı 'Büyük Hata' Olarak Nitelendirildi
Arms Control Association tarafından yayımlanan Temmuz/Ağustos 2026 sayısında Daryl G. Kimball, Trump yönetiminin İran'a yönelik askeri müdahalesini '100 milyar dolarlık savaş hatası' olarak değerlendirdi. Yazı, ABD'nin İran'la girdiği çatışmanın maliyetinin 100 milyar doları aştığını ve stratejik açıdan başarısızlıkla sonuçlandığını öne sürüyor. Kimball, savaşın bölgesel istikrarı bozduğu, silahlanma yarışını tetiklediği ve diplomatik çözüm fırsatlarını heba ettiği görüşünü savunuyor. Makale, özellikle nükleer silahların yayılmasını önleme ve silah kontrolü perspektifinden, çatışmanın uluslararası güvenliğe yönelik olumsuz sonuçlarını mercek altına alıyor. Analiz, askeri seçenekler yerine çok taraflı diplomasinin gerekliliğine atıfta bulunarak, İran politikasında rotanın düzeltilmesi çağrısı yapıyor.
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Çin1 olay24 Haz - Ortak aktör
ABD-İran Anlaşma Taslağı İsrail’i Kaygılandırıyor: Hürmüz Boğazı ve Abraham Anlaşmaları Pazarlıkta
ABD ile İran arasında Hürmüz Boğazı’nın yeniden açılması ve deniz ablukasının kaldırılması karşılığında Washington’un askerî varlığını çekmesini öngören bir mutabakat zaptı taslağı, İsrail’de rahatsızlık yarattı. Mayıs 2026 sonunda İran devlet televizyonunun duyurduğu taslak, 60 günlük ateşkesle başlayacak ve İran’ın ticari geçişleri eski hâline getirmesiyle ABD güçlerinin bölgeden uzaklaştırılmasını içeriyor. Ancak Başkan Trump yaptırımların hafifletilmeyeceğini vurgularken, İran ise uranyum ve Hürmüz’den geçiş ücreti alınmaması gibi ek talepleri reddetti. Görüşmeler Pakistanlı arabulucular aracılığıyla sürüyor ve taraflar henüz kilit meselelerde anlaşmaya varmadı. İsrail, anlaşmayı “başarısızlık” olarak nitelendirirken, Washington’daki etkisinin azaldığını savunuyor. Trump’ın İran ile müzakerelere Abraham Anlaşmaları’na uyum şartını eklemesi, Arap müttefiklerinin pozisyonuyla örtüşmediği gerekçesiyle eleştiriliyor. Öte yandan ABD ve İsrail’in Ürdün’ün Mescid-i Aksa’daki vesayetini hedef aldığı iddiaları da diplomatik gerilimi tırmandırıyor. Bu süreçte taraflar arasında askerî çatışmalar yaşandı; Washington Hürmüz Boğazı üzerinde beş İran İHA’sını düşürdüğünü, Tahran ise Kuveyt’teki ABD üssüne balistik füze saldırısı düzenlediğini bildirdi. Anlaşma, küresel petrol arzı açısından kritik olan Hürmüz Boğazı’ndaki tıkanıklığı giderme potansiyeli taşırken, İsrail’in güvenlik kaygıları ve bölgesel normalleşme çabalarını yeniden şekillendiriyor. Trump yönetimi diplomatik çözümü askerî seçeneğe tercih ettiğini belirtse de, Pakistan’ın Abraham Anlaşmaları’na katılma ihtimalinin düşük olması ve İran’ın tutumu müzakerelerin geleceğini belirsiz kılıyor.
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ABD1 olay11 sa önce