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İran-İsrail krizinde 100. gün: Trump'ın ateşkes çağrısıyla gerilim düştü, nükleer anlaşma sinyali

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İran ile ABD ve İsrail arasında Mart ayında başlayan ve 100. günü geride bırakan çatışma süreci, son günlerde yeniden tırmandı. İsrail ve İran karşılıklı füze saldırılarının ardından eski ABD Başkanı Donald Trump'ın 'derhal ateşkes' çağrısı üzerine geri adım attı. İsrail Başbakanı Binyamin Netanyahu çatışmalara ara verildiğini doğrulasa da gelecekteki saldırılara sert karşılık verileceği uyarısında bulundu. Trump yönetimi bir yandan askeri gerilimi düşürmeye çalışırken, diğer yandan İran'ın nükleer programına ilişkin uzun vadeli bir anlaşmaya yaklaşıldığının sinyalini verdi. Başkan Yardımcısı JD Vance, ABD'nin çıkarlarının İsrail'inkinden ayrıştığını belirterek nükleer müzakerelerde ilerleme kaydedildiğini duyurdu. Krizin ekonomik yansımaları sürerken, İngiliz perakende devi WH Smith havalimanlarındaki müşteri kaybını gerekçe göstererek kâr uyarısı yaptı. Mart ayından bu yana İsrail saldırılarında 3 bin 600'den fazla kişi yaşamını yitirdi. Diplomatik çabaların yoğunlaştığı bu dönemde ateşkesin kalıcılığı ve olası nükleer anlaşmanın şartları belirsizliğini koruyor.

This summary is currently in Turkish; automated English translation is coming soon.

Started 07 Jun, 11:06 11 events Updated 07 Jun
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latest: 07 Jun
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    US-Iran conflict marks 100th day with no end in sight

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    The conflict between Iran and the United States entered its 100th day on June 7, with no clear path toward resolution as negotiations remain deadlocked and the economic repercussions of the crisis continue to reverberate across global markets.

    Hürriyet Daily News – News
  2. Security07 Jun, 13:23

    Breaking Down the Israel–Iran Conflict: What We Know So Far - Day 100

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    Daily Mirror – Breaking News
  3. Security08 Jun, 18:05

    Israel and Iran step back from renewed conflict after Trump calls for halt

    Iran

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    The Guardian – World
  4. Security08 Jun, 22:36

    Israel and Iran step back from further strikes after renewed clashes

    Iran

    Israel and Iran appeared to pull back from further military action on Monday after exchanging fire for the first time since a US-brokered ceasefire two months ago. Both sides warned they would retaliate if attacked again, while regional powers and the Trump administration pushed to prevent the conflict from escalating into a wider war.

    France 24 – World
  5. Security09 Jun, 00:00

    Iran war live: Trump warns Netanyahu as Israel, Tehran halt fighting

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  7. Security10 Jun, 07:09

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  8. Security10 Jun, 11:22

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    Jerusalem Post – Middle East
  9. Security10 Jun, 10:41

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  11. Diplomatic07 Jun, 22:29

    Iran strikes Israel, proving it will use hard power on behalf of Lebanon

    Iran

    The magnitude of what just happened may take some time to sink in. This is the first time Iran has struck Israel after Israel struck another country’s territory (that is, not Iran). This means that the battle lines have been moved. Iran’s deterrence had already been restored in the sense that Israel knew that any strike on it would be responded to. But now, Iran has proven that it will also respond to Israeli strikes on Lebanon. This is the first time in decades that a regional power has the means, capacity, and willingness to put hard power against Israeli military maneuvers or aggression against a third party. This will be particularly significant since Trump has signalled that he seeks to restrain Israel from continuing the escalation. Trump reportedly told Israeli journalist Barak Ravid that “Hopefully Israel is not going to retaliate. If Bibi strikes them back it’s just gonna keep going like the last 47 years, or the last 3000 years.” Trump also added: “We are very close to a final deal with Iran. It is going to be a good deal. I don’t want it to blow up because of what is happening now.” Whether this would extend to Palestine is uncertain, but if it does, it may prove a game-changer. Israel has been able to annex territory, commit genocide and war crimes without any real consequences because the West has refused to, and no regional power has had the hard power to impose costs on Israel. If this equation changes, the future of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will likely take a significant turn. Which is why Israel will do everything it can to disallow any shift. From a U.S. perspective, supporting Israel at this point recommits the U.S. to its decades-long policy of seeking to sustain a balance in the region that allows for near-complete Israeli dominance. That policy has been extremely costly to U.S. interests, has destabilized the region, and enabled the Israelis to get increasingly aggressive and reckless (since they face no consequences for it). However problematic it has been, it will become far more challenging and destabilizing going forward since sustaining Israel’s dominance will necessitate continued war with Iran. This clearly contradicts U.S. interests. If U.S. interests were at the center of US policy, getting out of the Middle East and its regional rivalries would be a no-brainer. This article was republished with permission from Trita Parsi's substack

    Responsible Statecraft

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