İçeriğe atla
Deeplomap
Hikayeler
CN
Gelişiyor

Pekin’in Tayvan Hesapları: Zaman Çin’in Lehine mi?

War on the Rocks’ta yayımlanan bir analiz, Çin’in Tayvan konusunda zamanı nasıl değerlendirdiğini ve uluslararası güç dengesindeki değişimlerin Pekin’in stratejik sabrını nasıl etkilediğini ele alıyor. Analize göre, bir devletin konumunun iyileşeceğine inanması sabrı teşvik ederken, kötüleşeceği korkusu avantajlarını kaybetmeden önce harekete geçme baskısı yaratıyor. Çin’in ekonomik ve askeri kapasitesindeki artışla birlikte Tayvan üzerindeki egemenlik iddiasını güçlendirebileceği bir ortamda, Pekin’in zamanı kendi lehine gördüğü senaryolar ile ABD ve bölgesel aktörlerin caydırıcılığı arasındaki denklemin, savaş riskini belirleyen temel faktör olduğu vurgulanıyor. ABD’nin politikası açısından, Çin’in Tayvan konusunda aceleci davranmasını önlemek için net bir stratejik iletişim ve güvenilir askeri varlığın önemi belirtiliyor. Analiz, Çin’in mevcut avantajlarını koruma isteği ile olası riskleri dikkate alarak, Washington’un durumu yönetme biçiminin savaşın zamanlamasını etkileyebileceğini öne sürüyor.

Başlangıç 04 Haz 16:00 17 olay Güncellendi 2 gün önce
Çin dosyası →
Paylaş
Bağlam · AI üretimi

Bağlam, hikayenin etrafındaki ülke + lider + komşu hikaye ağına dayanılarak AI tarafından üretildi. Olgu içerikleri için her zaman üstteki kaynak linklerine başvurun.

Bu gündemi takip et

Çin gelişmelerini kaçırma — ücretsiz kaydol, günlük brifinginde gör.

Zaman çizelgesi

en güncel: 2 gün önce
  1. Güvenlik04 Haz 16:00

    Is Time on China’s Side? Beijing’s Taiwan Calculus and the Balance of Power

    Beijing, Çin

    When is the risk of war the highest? And what should the United States be doing about it? One of the most important but underappreciated questions in international politics is how states think about the future balance of power. Countries that believe their position is improving often choose patience. Those who fear their position is deteriorating may feel pressure to act before their advantages disappear. In this episode, Ryan is joined by Dean Cheng, Mira Rapp-Hooper, and Amanda Hsiao to explore how Chinese leaders may be thinking about time, power, and Taiwan. This episode is sponsored by Kibu, which ensures you always know The post Is Time on China’s Side? Beijing’s Taiwan Calculus and the Balance of Power appeared first on War on the Rocks.

    War on the Rocks
  2. Güvenlik05 Haz 07:30

    After the Invasion: China Considers the Problem of Ruling Taiwan

    Beijing, Çin

    In August 2024, scholars at a Xiamen-based think tank published a paper urging Beijing to immediately establish a shadow Taiwan government on the Chinese mainland in preparation for a full takeover of the island. “It is imperative to prepare a plan for the comprehensive takeover of Taiwan after unification,” they said. The scholars were writing at a fraught moment for Beijing.Only months earlier, the anti-China Democratic Progressive Party had taken office after a third consecutive presidential election win. Unusually for a Chinese publication on such a sensitive topic, the paper made several frank admissions: that opposition to unification within Taiwan The post After the Invasion: China Considers the Problem of Ruling Taiwan appeared first on War on the Rocks.

    War on the Rocks
  3. Güvenlik08 Haz 01:38

    China's Xi to visit North Korea for first time in seven years as Beijing tests its influence over Kim

    Beijing, Çin

    North Korea may use the summit as an opportunity to press for economic concessions or Beijing's "tacit recognition" of its nuclear status, analysts say.

    CNBC – World Economy
  4. Güvenlik08 Haz 05:18

    China's Xi visits NK for first time in seven years

    Beijing, Çin

    Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Pyongyang on Monday for a rare state visit that experts say is likely meant to reassert China’s unique influence over North Korea in return for providing economic and political benefits. During a two-day trip, his first visit to North Korea in seven years, Xi is to meet leader Kim Jong-un. It will be their first summit since September, when they met in Beijing after viewing a military parade alongside Russian President Vladimir Putin and other foreign lead

    The Korea Herald – World
  5. Güvenlik08 Haz 05:30

    The European Union Has Got a $2 Trillion Taiwan Problem

    Çin

    Just before dawn on Jan. 17, a Chinese military drone crossed for the first time into Taiwanese airspace above a disputed coral reef in the South China Sea. The reconnaissance aircraft lingered over Pratas Island for a few minutes, while the Taiwanese issued warnings to leave over international radio frequencies.

    Bloomberg – PoliticsTaipei Times – Front (Index)
  6. Diplomatik08 Haz 06:17

    China's Xi begins rare North Korea visit

    Çin

    China's President Xi Jinping has kicked off his first visit to North Korea in seven years. It is also Xi's first international trip this year after hosting key summits with US and Russian leaders.

    Deutsche Welle (English)Anadolu Agency – Current NewsThe Japan Times – Latest
  7. İnsani07 Haz 05:45

    Taiwan coast guard deployed vessels in response to China operation

    Çin

    It said the Chinese operation "violates international law".

    The Straits Times – AsiaPhilippine Daily Inquirer – Global Nation
  8. Güvenlik08 Haz 09:16

    Xi lands in North Korea with denuclearisation likely off the table

    Çin

    Chinese President Xi Jinping started his first visit to North Korea since 2019 pledging “unwavering” friendship and deeper ties with a country that boasts a growing nuclear arsenal and increasing ties with Russia. “No matter how times change or how the international situation evolves, the friendship between China and North Korea remains invincible,” Xi said in an article published on Monday by Rodong Sinmun, a state-run North Korean newspaper. The two countries should “strengthen exchanges at...

    South China Morning Post
  9. Güvenlik08 Haz 16:32

    China Reasserts Itself, to Contain North Korea’s Tilt Toward Russia

    Çin

    On a rare visit to North Korea, China’s leader, Xi Jinping, projected unity but also sought to remind Kim Jong-un that he is the senior partner in their alliance.

    The New York Times – WorldThe Straits Times – Asia
  10. Diplomatik09 Haz 01:43

    North Korea, China agree to boost ties as Xi makes rare visit

    Çin

    China's President Xi Jinping is on his first visit to North Korea in seven years. It is also Xi's first international trip this year after hosting key summits with US and Russian leaders.

    Deutsche Welle (English)
  11. Güvenlik09 Haz 05:55

    China's Xi vows to bring ties with North Korea to 'new heights' during rare visit

    Beijing, Çin

    It was Xi's first visit to North Korea in seven years. Xi and Kim last met in Beijing in September after viewing a military parade alongside Russian President Vladimir Putin and other foreign leaders.

    Euronews – International
  12. Diplomatik09 Haz 10:03

    China's Xi hails deeper understanding at end of North Korea summit

    Beijing, Çin

    Chinese President Xi Jinping wrapped up on Tuesday his first visit to North Korea in seven years, saying it had established a deeper, more comprehensive understanding yielding a clearer path for development of ties, the official Xinhua news agency said. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Xi agreed to expand cooperation in the areas of politics, economy and culture at a summit in Pyongyang that opened a new chapter in ties, the North’s official KCNA news agency said. “The mutual understanding between China and North Korea has become deeper and more comprehensive, and the direction of future development has become clearer and more defined,” Xi told his hosts at a luncheon before his departure, Xinhua added. Kim waved both hands as Xi’s plane taxied down the tarmac, in footage from China’s state broadcaster CCTV, after an enthusiastic send-off by Pyongyang residents, who lined the road to the airport, waving flags and shouting friendship slogans. Earlier, the leaders jointly planted a fir tree in the grounds of a key political training school for party cadres, which Xinhua said symbolised “ever-renewing friendship”. On the second day of his visit to China’s only formal treaty ally, Xi had also visited Pyongyang’s Sino-Korean Friendship Tower that commemorates Chinese soldiers who died in the Korean War, the agency added. Both agreed to strive for closer strategic communication through visits by high-level officials, KCNA said. Kim told Xi he would fully support the “One China principle,” which Beijing views as meaning that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one country, regardless of changes in the international situation, it added. China views democratically governed Taiwan as its own territory and has never renounced the use of force to bring the island under Beijing’s control, although Taipei rejects the sovereignty claims. Analysts see contrasting priorities Despite the expressions of goodwill, analysts saw contrasting priorities in the official summaries of the visit. While Xinhua detailed proposals ranging from high-level exchanges to trade and agriculture, along with restoration of transport links, KCNA cast the summit more broadly as a pact of equal partners, the analysts said. Pyongyang stressed regime dignity and the neighbours’ “special relationship,” added Lim Eul-chul, a professor at South Korea’s Kyungnam University, while Beijing emphasised practical state-to-state ties and its initiatives for international order. “North Korea removed elements that could make it look like a subordinate, dependent or beneficiary party, and rewrote the relationship as one between equals,” said Hong Min, a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification. “It amplified signals of solidarity, such as anti-US and Taiwan-related messages, while erasing signals of dependence or subordination.” China is North Korea’s biggest trade partner and analysts have said Xi’s trip could focus on trade and tourism. Patriotic songs Xi and first lady Peng Liyuan attended a performance of Chinese and North Korean songs, accompanied by Kim and his wife, Ri Sol Ju, that highlighted “the value and closeness of DPRK-China friendship,” KCNA said. It was referring to the North’s official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. Chinese-North Korean relations had reached a “new historical starting point,” Xi said at a banquet hosted by Kimfor the 65th anniversary of the neighbours’ friendship treaty, KCNA added. Xi vowed that Beijing would not swerve from its commitment to safeguard common interests, Xinhua said on Monday. But North Korean media did not say if Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons programme or relations with the United States figured in the talks. Such an absence suggests Beijing would like the visit cast in terms of neighbourly ties, said Ja Ian Chong, a political science professor at the National University of Singapore. During his first term, US President Donald Trump met Kim three times, before the unprecedented diplomatic effort broke down over US demands for North Korea to give up nuclear weapons. Trump has said he would be willing to restart talks. “It is doubtful that Xi will serve as a catalyst for US-North Korea talks,” said Leif-Eric Easley, professor of international studies at Ewha Womans University in Seoul.

    Dawn – HomeThe Straits Times – Asia
  13. Güvenlik09 Haz 12:27

    Japan wary of closer China-North Korea military ties after Xi visit

    Çin

    The government is scrambling to collect and analyze intelligence on possible discussions regarding North Korea's nuclear weapons development.

    The Japan Times – Latest
  14. Diplomatik09 Haz 15:00

    Has Xi Jinping’s North Korea visit helped cement China’s vital role?

    Çin

    Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to North Korea may have helped cement China’s “indispensable” role in ensuring regional stability and highlighted its importance to his host’s economy, analysts said. The Chinese president wrapped up his visit on Tuesday afternoon after reaching what he said was a “critical consensus” with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Xi told a lunch at the Kumsusan State Guest House that he was ready to work with Kim to to “jointly guide China-North Korea relations...

    South China Morning Post
  15. Siyasi10 Haz 01:00

    Why the new party academy role held by Xi Jinping’s chief of staff is important in China

    Beijing, Çin

    Last week, Chinese President Xi Jinping’s chief of staff Cai Qi, the fifth most senior official in the ruling Communist Party, was chosen to lead the Central Party School, Beijing’s leading academy for cadres. The Central Party School is not just any training site for Chinese officials, but part of a nationwide system that Xi considers key to the ideological purity of the party and important for the expertise needed by senior officials across the country. Who were previous heads? In the past...

    South China Morning Post
  16. Güvenlik10 Haz 03:37

    US Denies North Korea Nuclear Arms ‘Closed Issue’ After Xi Visit

    Çin

    The US and Japan said they remain committed to the denuclearization of North Korea despite China’s apparent downgrading of the subject and Russia’s assertion that it was a “closed issue.”

    Bloomberg – Politics
  17. Güvenlik11 Haz 01:30

    Was Xi’s stand on China-North Korea military ties also a message for US, Russia?

    Beijing, Çin

    North Korea is gaining in strategic importance for China to counter the United States, but Pyongyang may refrain from intensifying military ties with Beijing, analysts say. During his meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un on Monday, Chinese President Xi Jinping said both sides should “enhance exchanges in diplomacy, law enforcement and military affairs”, according to state news agency Xinhua. Despite pledges from both sides to strengthen strategic communications, denuclearisation of the...

    South China Morning Post

Okumaya devam et

ilgili gelişmeler