Slovak politikacı
Strengthening El Niño increasingly constrains cropping and agropastoral livelihoods
Strengthening El Niño increasingly constrains cropping and agropastoral livelihoods Key Messages Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist in La Guajira and Chocó through January 2027, while widespread Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes persist across most of Colombia. In La Guajira, poor Indigenous and agropastoral households will continue to face food consumption gaps as below-average water access, rainfed production, and pasture and livestock body conditions constrain food and income sources. In Chocó, poor Indigenous and Afro-Colombian households in remote riverine areas will continue to face high transportation costs and intermittent restrictions on movement and access to markets, fishing, and agricultural activities that ultimately limit food access. Across the rest of the country, most poor households will meet their minimum food needs but remain unable to afford all essential non-food expenditures without employing sustainable coping strategies amid above-average prices and reduced income-earning opportunities. As El Niño conditions strengthen, above-average temperatures and below-average rainfall remain likely across much of Colombia. In worst-affected areas, such as La Guajira, Vichada, and localized areas of Arauca, Casanare, and Meta, water availability, rainfed crop development, pasture regeneration, livestock productivity, and related income are expected to be negatively impacted. Localized second-cycle planting delays and reduced agricultural labor demand are also likely in affected parts of the Andina Region, while pasture and water conditions are expected to deteriorate more widely in Orinoquía toward December and January. In July, Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM) monitoring indicates dry to very dry soils in parts of La Guajira and wetter conditions in parts of Chocó and Orinoquía, reflecting spatially mixed near-term conditions. Recent heavy rainfall affected 16,769 households in 24 municipalities in Arauca, Boyacá, Casanare, and Norte de Santander, causing localized disruptions to market connectivity and agricultural activities. Food and essential non-food costs continue to constrain poor households’ purchasing power, although markets remain well supplied. Annual inflation reached 6.14 percent in June, while annual food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation was higher, at 6.83 percent. Wholesale prices rose across several food groups month-on-month, though trends varied by product. Potato prices remained particularly high and volatile across multiple monitored markets, while cassava prices remained above last year at several locations despite recent monthly declines. Rice prices increased slightly but remained below last year’s and five-year average levels in Bogotá, while maize meal and pasta prices in Botogá remained comparatively stable. Generally well-supplied markets and the appreciation of the COP by 5.7 percent from May to June are limiting broader increases in staple prices by lowering import costs for cereals, agricultural inputs, and other imported goods. Nevertheless, high food, utility, transportation, and other essential costs, combined with irregular informal incomes, will likely constrain purchasing power and continue to force poor households to use sustainable coping strategies to cover non-food expenditures as they prioritize food purchases. Localized conflict is expected to continue to restrict mobility and livelihood activities and disrupt trade in Chocó and other conflict-affected areas, especially in Pacífico Region, and in coca-producing areas. In Chocó and, to a lesser extent, in Antioquia, Norte de Santander, Nariño, and Cauca, confinement, displacement, insecurity, and intermittent disruptions to transportation routes will continue to limit access to markets, agricultural fields, livelihoods, services, and income-generating activities among poor rural households, including specific Indigenous and Afro-Colombian communities. Recent clashes between Organized Armed Groups, attacks on security forces, and armed confrontations affected civilians across multiple departments in July, confirming the persistence of geographically concentrated insecurity. Pockets of households facing these conditions are expected to temporarily experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes, even though these events are likely to remain localized and intermittent. ecalderon@fews.net Fri, 08/07/2026 - 15:03 Download the report 34
En directo: Pedro Sánchez clausura la presentación de la Red de Refugios Climáticos
Ministerio para la Transición Ecológica y el Reto Demográfico, Madrid, lunes 27 de julio de 2026 En el marco del Pacto de Estado frente a la Emergencia Climática, el presidente del Gobierno clausura la Red de Refugios Climáticos, junto a la vicepresidenta tercera y ministra para la Transición Ecológica y el Reto Demográfico, Sara Aagesen. También asisten las titulares de Sanidad y de Inclusión, Seguridad Social y Migraciones.