Hürmüz'de ABD-İran Savaşı: Petrol Rotası Ateş Altında
Temmuz 2026 başında ABD'nin İran'a ait füze ve hava savunma sistemlerini vurmasıyla başlayan çatışmalar, İran'ın Hürmüz Boğazı'nı kapatması ve ABD üslerine balistik füze saldırılarıyla tırmandı. Taraflar karşılıklı hava saldırıları, deniz ablukası ve insansız hava aracı taarruzları ile boğazın kontrolü için mücadele ederken, küresel petrol fiyatları yükseldi ve gemi trafiği son üç haftanın en düşük seviyesine indi. Haziran ayında imzalanan İslamabad Mutabakatı'nın çökmesiyle diplomasi çabaları sonuçsuz kaldı. ABD saldırılarını İran'ın güneyindeki liman, köprü ve ulaşım altyapısına genişletti; İran ise Ürdün, Bahreyn ve Suriye'deki ABD bağlantılı hedefleri vurdu. İran Cumhurbaşkanı, ülkesinin "tam kapsamlı savaş" içinde olduğunu açıklarken, Washington sekizinci dalga saldırılarını düzenledi ve İsrail, ABD tanker uçaklarına hava sahası ve Ben Gurion Havalimanı'nı tahsis etti. Çatışmalar sivil hayatı da vurdu; İran'ın güneyinde halk, altyapının tahrip olmasıyla artan sıkıntıyı yaşarken, ABD'nin Kazma Dağı'ndaki nükleer tesise yönelik tehdidi endişeleri büyüttü. Bölgedeki gerilimin küresel enerji arzına etkisi ve insani maliyeti giderek ağırlaşıyor.
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Timeline
latest: 23 Jul- Political07 Jul, 23:26
Iran: To Take 'Decisive Actions' to Protect Interests | Balance of Power: Late Edition 07/07/2026
"Balance of Power: Late Edition" focuses on the intersection of politics and global business. On today's show, Retired General Ben Hodges, former Commanding General for US Army Europe, says NATO allies should increase defense spending to strengthen their own security and counter Russia — not to satisfy President Trump. Bill Scher, Politics Editor for the Washington Monthly and longtime Democratic political strategist and commentator, says Graham Platner's refusal to leave Maine's Senate race could force Democrats into a "game of chicken" before a candidate deadline. Jonathan Panikoff, Senior Director of the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council's Middle East Program, reacts to US strikes against Iran after attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: Bloomberg)
- Security09 Jul, 18:49
US, Iran Trade Airstrikes | Balance of Power 7/9/2026
On the early edition of Balance of Power, Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu discusses the latest from the Trump Administration. On today's show, Stonecourt Capital Partner Rick Davis, Harvard Kennedy School Ash Center Visiting Democracy Fellow Jeanne Sheehan Zaino and Vice President of the Defense & Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies Emily Harding. (Source: Bloomberg)
- Security10 Jul, 12:11
ABD basını: Washington, diplomasiye zaman tanımak için arada İran'a saldırıları durduruyor
ABD'nin İran'a saldırılarını zaman zaman durdurarak diplomasiye zaman tanıdığı öne sürüldü. ABD-İran savaşını sonlandırmak için iki ülke, 14 Haziran’da İslamabad Mutabakatı'nı imzalamış, mutabakat ile...Devamı için tıklayınız
- Security12 Jul, 17:35
ABD ordusu, İran’a ait füze ve hava savunma sistemlerini vurdu
ABD merkezli haber sitesi Axios, ABD ordusunun Hürmüz Boğazı yakınlarında İran'a ait füze ve hava savunma sistemlerine yönelik çeşitli saldırılar düzenlediğini ve İran Devrim Muhafızları Ordusu'na (DMO)...Devamı için tıklayınız
- Security13 Jul, 07:46
US and Iran trade attacks as Strait of Hormuz dispute deepens
By Elwely Elwelly, Tala Ramadan and Katharine Jackson DUBAI/WASHINGTON, July 13 (Reuters) - U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged missile and drone attacks on Monday and clashed over control the Strait of Hormuz, casting doubt on the viability of an interim deal to halt their war and driving oil prices higher. After Iran's announcement of the strait's closure over the weekend, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday the United States would probably take over the waterway and should be reimbursed for controlling the vital shipping route.
- Security14 Jul, 06:40
Iran says it struck US air base in Jordan, US military ends five hours of attacks
CAIRO/DUBAI/WASHINGTON, , July 14 - A U.S. air base in Jordan was targeted by Iranian ballistic missiles on Tuesday, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said, while calling on Jordanians to dismantle American bases in the kingdom.
- Security14 Jul, 06:46
Iran and US stage new attacks, battle over control of Strait of Hormuz
By Enas Alashray, Elwely Elwelly, Tala Ramadan and Katharine Jackson CAIRO/DUBAI/WASHINGTON, July 14 (Reuters) - Iran fired ballistic missiles at a U.S. air base in Jordan on Tuesday and the United States attacked Iranian targets for five hours in a battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz that has pushed up oil prices to four-week highs.
- Security14 Jul, 06:46
Iran and US launch new attacks, battle over control of Strait of Hormuz
By Enas Alashray, Elwely Elwelly, Tala Ramadan and Katharine Jackson CAIRO/DUBAI/WASHINGTON, July 14 (Reuters) - Iran fired ballistic missiles at a U.S. air base in Jordan on Tuesday and the United States attacked Iranian targets for five hours in a battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz that has pushed up oil prices to four-week highs.
- Security16 Jul, 08:46
Iran warns Strait of Hormuz is a 'red line' and will resist until the end
By Jana Choukeir and Nayera Abdallah DUBAI, July 16 (Reuters) - Iran said on Thursday that the Strait of Hormuz was an inviolable "red line", warning that if U.S. President Donald Trump carried out his threat to attack Iran's infrastructure, it would strike all infrastructure across the Gulf region. The U.S. launched a fifth night of attacks on Wednesday and reimposed a naval blockade of Iran's ports, which Washington says is aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz, closed by Iran last Saturday after a fragile truce collapsed.
- Security16 Jul, 13:09
Fact check: Viral video does not show Iranian Navy destroying ship in Strait of Hormuz amid renewed hostilities
Multiple X users have been sharing a video on the social media platform since July 14, claiming that it shows the Iranian Navy destroying a ship in the Strait of Hormuz amid renewed hostilities in the Middle East. However, the video is old and shows the US Navy destroying an Iranian Soleimani-class corvette vessel in the Persian Gulf. Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted once again after Iranian forces shut down the vital maritime route after exchanging heavy missile and drone assaults with US forces, with multiple US facilities in the Gulf states coming under fire on July 12, 2026. The United States military has concluded a fourth consecutive night of strikes against Iran, as Washington and Tehran both stake claims for control of the Strait of Hormuz. On July 14, a pro-Iranian account, based on its display profile and past posts, shared a video on X, showing a ship engulfed in flames in the sea, claiming to have been attacked by the Iranian Navy in the Strait of Hormuz. The post was captioned: “This ship was given clearance to pass the Strait of Hormuz by the US without even coordinating with the IRGC. It is now at the bottom of the sea after catching fire. For a safe passage through the strait, only the IRGC can give you clearance.” The post attracted 3.8 million views. Another pro-Iranian account, based on its display profile, shared the same video with the following caption: “Breaking video: Iran sinks ship in the Strait of Hormuz after the US gave it clearance to pass, sending a message to the world that only the IRGC controls the Strait of Hormuz.” The post garnered 1.9m views on X. The video was shared by another pro-Iranian user in a similar context with the following caption: “Just one day after Trump’s claim that ‘we destroyed Iran’s naval power,’ a US ship attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz was sunk.” The post gained 1.7m views on X. Another user, describing them as an anti-Zionist Jew Arab, shared the same video with the following caption: “The end of white Western colonialism around the world begins here.” The post gained 175,000 views. Similarly, a user who appeared to be pro-Iranian also shared the same video with a similar caption on X. The post garnered 133,000 views. Indian media outlet ABP Telugu also shared the same visual in a news article on July 15 titled: “US-Iran War: War between America and Iran reaches a critical level! Roundup with Hormuz with 20 warships and hundreds of fighter jets.” The video was shared by several other pro-Iranian users on X, such as here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here; collectively accumulating 192,000 views. A fact-check was initiated to determine the veracity of the claim due to its high virality and keen public interest in renewed tensions in the Middle East. A keyword search conducted to verify whether any Middle Eastern or international media outlet had run the viral video yielded no results. A reverse image search of keyframes yielded a news article published on March 10 by Naval News, an independent and private media publication on covering global naval affairs. The article with the same visuals was titled: “US Navy strikes another Iranian Catamaran Corvette”. According to the news article, the US Navy struck Iran’s Shahid Soleimani-class missile catamaran corvette in the Gulf on March 8, 2026. The corvette, identified as IRIS Haj Qasem, was struck while anchored off Bandar Lengeh. A further keyword search conducted on the details from the article yielded the same video shared by several other international media outlets, such as CNN News 18, News 18, and Baki Xeber on March 10, with a similar context. The video was titled: “War escalation: US naval strike hits Iranian Shahid Soleimani-class warship in Persian Gulf”. Iran International – English shared a longer video on Facebook, showing the blowing of the ship along with the viral video part starting at the 21-second mark. The post was titled: “Eyewitness footage confirms Monday’s airstrike on Iranian ship”. According to the description of the video, a naval vessel belonging to the Iranian navy was struck in an airstrike in the Persian Gulf. The ship appeared to be a Soleimani-class corvette, according to reports. Another keyword search conducted yielded the same video shared by the Emirati media outlet, Gulf Today, on Instagram, dated March 9, 2026, further corroborating the same incident. View this post on Instagram Therefore, the claim that a viral video shows a ship recently destroyed by the Iranian Navy in the Strait of Hormuz is false. The video is old and shows the US Navy destroying an Iranian Soleimani-class corvette vessel in the Persian Gulf. This fact check was originally published by iVerify Pakistan — a project of CEJ-IBA and UNDP.
- Security17 Jul, 09:40
U.S. Hits Bridges and a Port in Southern Iran as Airstrikes Expand
Rail and road connections were reportedly struck as Washington seeks to weaken Tehran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated by firing on American military facilities in the region.
- Security18 Jul, 05:18
ABD-İran gerilimi tırmandı: Saldırılar ülke içine yayıldı, Hürmüz'de gemi trafiği son üç haftanın en düşüğünde
ABD, İran'a yönelik saldırılarının yedinci gününde operasyon alanını ülkenin iç kesimlerine genişletti. İran ise Körfez'deki ABD bağlantılı askeri üsleri füze ve İHA'larla hedef aldığını açıkladı. Çatışmaların gölgesinde Hürmüz Boğazı'ndaki gemi trafiği son üç haftanın en düşük seviyesine geriledi.
- Security18 Jul, 22:59
US launching new airstrikes against Iran
WASHINGTON: The United States announced Saturday it was launching new airstrikes to punish Iran for attacks against US forces in Jordan after its first military deaths since renewing its hostilities with Teheran.
- Security19 Jul, 07:15
US launches new airstrikes on Iran after confirming troop deaths
Washington launched its eighth consecutive wave of strikes in Iran overnight Saturday with US Central Command saying the latest attacks had targeted Iran's Revolutionary Guard in retaliation for Tehran's killing of two US troops at an airbase in Jordan. France 24 correspondent Fraser Jackson reports from Washington.
- Security20 Jul, 08:30
Iran says fighting 'full-scale war' with US
Iran is fighting a "full-scale war" with the United States, its president said Monday, as Washington expanded its strikes across the Islamic republic including a city hosting a nuclear power plant. "The reality is that today the Islamic Republic of Iran is engaged in a full-scale war," said President Masoud Pezeshkian, according to a presidency statement.
- Security20 Jul, 14:59
Iran says fighting 'full-scale war' with United States
Iran is fighting a “full-scale war” with the United States, its president said Monday, as Washington expanded its strikes across the Islamic republic including a city hosting a nuclear power plant. Iran kept up its own attacks across the region in response, with its Revolutionary Guards announcing they had hit targets in Bahrain, Jordan and Syria, while Bahrain said Tehran had targeted its air navigation systems. “The reality is that today the Islamic Republic of Iran is engaged in a full-scale war,” said President Masoud Pezeshkian, according to a presidency statement. He added that “we must be realistic and accept the natural consequences of this resistance”. His comments came after state media and local authorities reported US strikes on Monday in the north and centre of the country, further than areas near the blockaded Strait of Hormuz waterway through which a fifth of world oil supplies transited prior to the war. The Middle East war resumed after a weeks-long lull prompted by an agreement signed in June, and oil prices surged to a one-month high as the foes battled to control the vital Strait of Hormuz. As its truce with the US collapsed, Tehran reimposed its blockade of the waterway, while Washington hit back by again blockading Iran’s ports. All of the Iranian provinces hit on Monday host military bases and air defence systems. In Bushehr, home to the country’s only operational civilian nuclear power plant, governor Mohammad Mozaffari told state news agency IRNA: “A few minutes ago, several locations in Bushehr city were hit by American enemy’s projectiles.” In East Azerbaijan province in the north, the head of the local crisis management unit Majid Farshi told IRNA that “one person was martyred and several others injured” in an attack there. Despite the latest attacks, Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said diplomatic exchanges with the United States via mediators were ongoing. “Ideas have been conveyed to us by certain mediators,” he told a press conference in Tehran attended by AFP. Iran’s Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni was set to travel to Islamabad on Monday, a Pakistani interior ministry source told AFP, without confirming the reason. Ship on fire In Hormuz, meanwhile, sailors abandoned a vessel set on fire in an attack, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations agency. The Revolutionary Guards had earlier said that two oil tankers trying to transit the strait “exploded and were brought to a halt”, according to a statement reported by Tasnim news agency. On Sunday, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called on countries around the world to share the burden of protecting global shipping. But Baqaei said on Monday that Tehran would not allow the strait to be used by its foes “to threaten Iran’s security and national interests”. US Central Command (Centcom) said on Sunday that it successfully completed the ninth consecutive night of strikes against Iran, while Rubio said he would “continue to try” to reach a diplomatic solution. The fresh fighting came after a weekend in which the US announced three new US military fatalities and one service member missing in action. Two were killed during Iranian missile and drone attacks on Jordan on Friday, while another service member died in northern Iraq during the controlled detonation of unexploded ordnance from a downed Iranian drone, Centcom said. President Donald Trump said US strikes on Iran “hit them very hard” in honour of the American fatalities. The deaths brought to 17 the confirmed number of American military fatalities since the conflict began with a massive US-Israeli strike on the Islamic republic. On Friday, Iran’s health ministry reported that 50 people had been killed in recent fighting and more than 500 wounded. Iran strikes neighbours Meanwhile, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards announced on Monday that they had hit targets in Syria, Jordan and Kuwait overnight. In Syria, Iranian forces launched “a surprise attack on the enemy special operations command centre in the Al-Tanf region”, according to a Guards statement carried by state media. The US withdrew its troops from Al-Tanf in February. In Jordan, the Guards said it targeted US military aircraft stationed at Aqaba Airport “with ballistic missiles, causing severe damage to a number of them”. The Guards also said they hit US military targets based in Kuwait, including an early-warning radar system that was “completely destroyed”. Kuwaiti air defences were “engaging hostile drone attacks following Iranian aggression”, its army said on Monday. Bahrain’s interior ministry also said that its air raid sirens had sounded and urged citizens and residents to head to “the nearest safe place”.
- Security20 Jul, 15:42
US attacks deepen hardship, not dissent, in Iran's south
Opposition to Iran’s government has long simmered in the country’s impoverished south. But after bearing the brunt of US strikes this month, many residents are directing their anger at President Donald Trump and an air campaign they say has upended their lives. Southern Iran, which borders the Strait of Hormuz, has been a major target of US attacks on ports, energy facilities and transport infrastructure. Washington claims the strikes are aimed at curbing Iran’s ability to threaten shipping through the strategic waterway. Tehran says they have gone far beyond legitimate military targets. Most of the more than two dozen southern residents Reuters interviewed by phone or messaging apps agreed that the strikes had gone beyond targets with a clear military purpose. “Trump has ruined our lives,” said Amin, who runs a small boarding house for tourists in the south, blaming the US strikes for worsening economic hardship. None of those Reuters spoke to said the conflict had generated support for renewed anti-government protests. No new wave of unrest in the south “I feel like I’m suffocating,” added Amin. Such frustration with the strikes’ impact helps explain why, even in provinces known for anti-government protest, the war has not triggered further unrest — something Trump had hoped for at the start of the conflict. Like the other Iranians Reuters spoke to, Amin asked that his family name not be published for fear of reprisals. Reza, 62, a veteran of the 1988-89 Iran-Iraq war, said he was still willing to fight against the United States. “If my country needs me I’ll take up arms again, not for this regime but for the soil beneath my feet. It’s the least I owe it,” said the retired teacher from his home in Abadan in the southwestern Khuzestan province. The southerners Reuters spoke to included people who had taken part in previous bouts of protest, but none said they supported renewed unrest for now. Huge region is home to several ethnic minorities Southern Iran’s provinces of Hormozgan, Bushehr, Khuzestan and Sistan-Baluchistan form a large, diverse region stretching along a humid, rugged coastline from Iraq to Pakistan. Khuzestan is home to a large Arab minority, Sistan-Baluchistan to Iran’s Balochi ethnic minority and Hormozgan to a Sunni Muslim religious minority. Despite having most of Iran’s oil and gas, southerners have also complained of low investment, little opportunity and poor state services. “The US attacks have deepened our problems. No electricity for hours means no water for hours in this heat,” said Hadi, a grocery shop owner in Khuzestan province. “I love Iran. This war should stop. Enough is enough,” he added. The authorities deny any regional, ethnic or religious discrimination. = Majid, a 41-year-old engineer in Konarak, said the war had brought new fear to a town already struggling with years of neglect: nights filled with the sound of explosions, followed by days of heat, hours of darkness and fears of empty water pipes. Power cuts have become especially punishing in provinces where summer temperatures regularly climb above 40 degrees Celsius, leaving families without air conditioning and disrupting water supplies that depend on electric pumps. In Bushehr, home to Iran’s one working nuclear power plant, high school student Samad said he could not focus on his exams because of the nightly attacks.
- Security21 Jul, 07:10
Israel grants US air base access for Iran strikes, disrupting 5,000 daily flights
Israel has allocated Ben Gurion Airport to US military refuelling aircraft for strikes on Iran, at the cost of cancelling thousands of civilian flights. Israeli media reported that Washington plans to intensify its attacks in the coming days, with dozens of US tanker aircraft arriving in the region.
- Security21 Jul, 07:52
US launches new Iran strikes targeting military infrastructure
The United States said it carried out another round of military strikes against Iranian targets, focusing on command facilities, missile systems and maritime assets. Washington said the operation was intended to reduce Iran’s capacity to threaten commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global energy route.
- Security21 Jul, 10:36
ABD’nin İran’daki yeni hedefi: Kazma Dağı
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump’ın, İran'ın yer altı nükleer tesisine ev sahipliği yaptığı iddia edilen Kazma Dağı'nı hedef alacaklarını açıklamasının ardından konuya ilişkin tartışmalar giderek büyüyor.
- Security21 Jul, 15:44
Trump: Yakında Kazma Dağı bölgesini vuracağız
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump, ''Yakında Kazma Dağı bölgesini vuracağız.'' dedi. ABD Başkanı Donald Trump, ‘’İran henüz bir şey görmedi. Yakında Kazma Dağı bölgesini vuracağız.'' dedi. Amerikan Wall Street Journal gazetesi, İsrail'in ABD'ye oldukça kritik bir istihbarat ilettiğini yazdı. Bu istihbarat, "İran, Haziran 2025'te 12 gün savaşının ardından binlerce uranyum zenginleştirme santrifüjünü Kazma Dağındaki nükleer tesisine taşıdı." yönünde. Güncellenecek
- Security21 Jul, 16:06
The wishful thinking behind the war with Iran
The wishful thinking behind the war with Iran Expert comment jon.wallace 21 July 2026 Iran has survived war with the US by adapting its doctrine. The US must also change its thinking. Nearly five months after the United States and Israel launched their military campaign against Iran, it is becoming increasingly difficult to escape one conclusion: the central objectives that underpinned Washington’s decision to go war have not materialized. Wars should ultimately be judged not by the number of targets destroyed or sorties flown, but by whether they achieve their political objectives. By that measure, the campaign against Iran deserves a sober reassessment. The expectation that military pressure would trigger regime collapse, force Tehran into political capitulation, or fundamentally degrade its strategic capabilities has, so far, not been borne out. At best, those expectations were overly optimistic. At worst, they reflected wishful thinking masquerading as strategy. First, regime change has not happened – and there is little evidence to suggest the war will bring it about anytime soon. Iran undoubtedly faces deep domestic dissatisfaction. Years of sanctions, inflation, corruption and political repression have generated repeated waves of unrest, culminating in the nationwide protests of late 2025 and early 2026, which were brutally suppressed by the security apparatus. The discontent which led to those protests is likely still brewing. But history repeatedly demonstrates that authoritarian regimes often prove far more resilient under external attack than anticipated. Foreign intervention often allows regimes to recast themselves as defenders of national sovereignty – blunting internal dissent in the process. Opposition movements can be reluctant to mobilize while the country is under attack. That appears to be precisely what has happened in Iran. Rather than imploding, the Islamic Republic has weathered what many in the US and Israel believed would become an existential crisis. Political fractures remain, and the economy continues to deteriorate: the rial touched record lows at the weekend. But the state retains the institutional cohesion, security capacity and elite discipline necessary to survive. The war may even have strengthened some of the very institutions it was intended to weaken. Second, the assumption that Iran’s military capability has been decisively degraded is difficult to sustain. Throughout the campaign, President Donald Trump repeatedly declared that Iran’s missile force had been ‘obliterated’ and that much of its launch infrastructure had been destroyed. Israeli officials similarly highlighted the destruction of launchers, production facilities and command-and-control nodes. Yet developments over the past five months suggest those assessments were, at minimum, premature. Iran has demonstrated a sustained ability to launch ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones across multiple theatres, from the Strait of Hormuz to countries hosting US military bases – including recent strikes on Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Iraq and Jordan. Whether acting directly or through its regional partners, Tehran has maintained a tempo of operations inconsistent with claims that its arsenal has been nearly exhausted. There is no reliable public estimate of Iran’s remaining missile stockpiles or production capacity. Definitive claims about its military depletion are difficult to sustain. Strategic attrition More importantly, Iran has demonstrated an ability to learn. It has not prioritized preserving its military assets. Instead, it has adapted its doctrine based on previous rounds of confrontation in 2024 and 2025. What once appeared to be operational shortcomings increasingly resemble the learning curve of a military preparing for a prolonged conflict rather than a single decisive exchange. Iran has not sought battlefield dominance but strategic attrition, gradually increasing the political, economic and military costs for its opponents In 2024, Iran carefully choreographed its military response to both Israel’s attack on its Syrian consulate in April of that year and the assassinations of Hezbollah and Hamas fighters that October. Missile attacks on Israel were launched in measured waves, often lacking precision. Even its retaliation for US strikes against Fordow and other nuclear facilities in June 2025 appeared designed to demonstrate resolve without provoking an uncontrollable regional war. This was read by some as hesitation or lack of capability. But it is now clear that it was strategy. Iran possessed greater capacity to escalate, as it has demonstrated in the current war. But it chose not to exhaust its options. That restraint, interpreted by some as weakness, is consistent with a strategy of preserving escalation options while collecting valuable intelligence on Israeli and American missile-defence systems, response times and interception patterns. In the 2026 conflict, Iranian targeting has become noticeably more selective. Rather than launching as many projectiles as possible, Tehran has focused on maximizing the strategic value of each strike. Attacks against Gulf energy infrastructure, ports and logistics nodes generate disproportionate economic, political and psychological consequences for the US and countries in the region. This reflects a fundamentally different theory of victory. Iran has not sought battlefield dominance, but strategic attrition, gradually increasing the political, economic and military costs for its opponents over time. In other words, Iran appears less focused on winning a short war than on managing a long confrontation, imposing incremental costs on its adversaries while preserving military and political options for future rounds of escalation. Making a deal The final assumption of the war, that Iran would capitulate politically and agree to a deal beneficial to the US and Israel, also proved wrong. Tehran’s red lines remain remarkably similar to those that existed before the war. Enrichment of uranium on its soil remains non-negotiable. Its ballistic missile program may be damaged and depleted to some extent but is still central to its deterrence strategy. Its support for its proxies across the region has not been weakened (though its ability to fund and supply them may have been). In fact, the war has caused Tehran to expand the range of issues it considers core national interests, now adding control of the Strait of Hormuz to its list of red lines. Related work Iran and the new Persian Gulf equilibrium Far from appearing weakened, Iran increasingly projects confidence that it has weathered the storm. Whether that confidence is justified is almost secondary. It is Tehran’s perception of its situation that will shape its behaviour. This is why the current trajectory is so troubling. If policymakers continue to base their strategy on assumptions that have repeatedly failed – that the regime is on the verge of collapse, that military pressure alone will produce capitulation, or that additional strikes will fundamentally alter Tehran’s calculations – they risk fighting a war with an Iranian regime that exists more in their expectations than in reality. The likely outcome is neither decisive victory nor durable peace, but an increasingly familiar cycle of tit-for-tat, temporary ceasefires, failed negotiations and renewed escalation. Each fresh round of fighting will doubtless be presented by the US as the one that will finally break Tehran’s resolve. Yet each round is more likely to convince Iran that strategic patience, rather than compromise, remains its best option. Until US assumptions are revisited, the war risks becoming self-perpetuating, driven less by achievable political objectives than by the hope that the next round of military pressure will succeed where every previous round has failed.
- Security21 Jul, 20:07
What is Pickaxe Mountain, Iran's nuclear site which might be among Trump's next targets - explainer
The threat of attacking the Iranian site reflects escalating tensions as Tehran and Washington trade fire in the Gulf, setting back efforts to end the conflict.
- Economic21 Jul, 21:10
US Crude Oil Inventories Build As Hormuz Shipping Headache Drags On
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States rose by 2.603 million barrels in the week ending July 17. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories fell by 564,000 barrels. Although commercial crude oil inventories excluding the SPR have been falling rapidly for three months now, shedding just over 57 million barrels over the last thirteen weeks, US crude inventories are only down 7 million barrels so far this year, according to API data, kept in check by draws from the SPR. For the week ending…
- Security22 Jul, 02:45
Trump threatens to obliterate any active nuclear site in Iran
• President says Tehran ‘desperate’ to talk, but US only interested in ‘meaningful engagement’ • Iran strikes US personnel in Jordan, Bahrain and Kuwait • Two Saudi crude tankers turned back by Houthi blockade • War has cost $37.5bn, says Hegseth WASHINGTON/TEHRAN: US President Donald Trump on Tuesday threatened to obliterate any active nuclear site in Iran and also deal with Houthis in case of any shipping disruptions in the Red Sea, as both sides continued to escalate attacks following a breakdown of a fragile ceasefire almost two weeks ago. President Trump said Washington would strike any new sites where Iran tried to resume its nuclear weapons programme. “We’re not leaving right now; we’re having a big impact on Iran,” he told reporters at the White House. “We will absolutely attack the new site that they’re talking about,” Trump added, referring to a new site where he claimed Iran would resume its nuclear activity. “Any site where they’re even thinking about nuclear, we’ll be hitting it very powerfully. Nobody knows, except the Iranians, the damage we’ve done to them.” The US president also reiterated that Iran “desperately” wanted to meet, but said that Washington had no interest in engaging with Tehran “unless they’re ready to meet in a meaningful way”. US, Iran exchange strikes US forces bombed targets in the south and west of Iran overnight, while Tehran targeted US sites in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan and a tanker was hit in the Strait of Hormuz. Explosions were heard around the city of Shiraz, state media said. Konarak and Chabahar on the southern coast, the city of Khorramabad and a civilian site outside the city of Abdanan, both in the west, all came under attack, media reports said. However, the IRNA news agency quoted an official in Khorramabad as saying no enemy attack had taken place there. Meanwhile, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said they targeted a complex housing US soldiers in Jordan’s Al-Rukban region, claiming that several personnel were killed. This attack was also acknowledged by President Trump, who said Iranians were able to “slip something through” in Jordan. Meanwhile, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the Iran war has cost the US $37.5 billion, up from a previous estimate of nearly $29bn in mid-May. “The estimate we have as of today is $37.5 billion,” Hegseth testified during a Senate Appropriations Committee hearing at which he defended the request for some $67bn in supplemental funding for the Pentagon. Blockades at sea On the other hand, tankers in the Strait of Hormuz braved attacks, as Houthis in Yemen enforced the blockade of Bab el-Mandeb Strait, in a bid to block Saudi oil supplies. Subsequently, two oil tankers loaded with Saudi crude for China and India made U-turns in the Red Sea and headed for the Suez Canal. According to the Guardian, Houthis claimed six ships had changed course. In response to the blockade, Trump said the US would “just have to take care of business” if the Houthis followed through on their threats. “You know, we’ve done that with the Houthis before, and we haven’t heard from them in a while since we did what we did originally,” he said. Meanwhile, Hormuz remained blocked, with Iranians saying that the strait would remain shut as long as the US attacks continued. The maritime security agency UKMTO said on Tuesday a tanker in Hormuz reported being struck by a projectile, forcing its crew to abandon the vessel. Also, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said two “non-compliant” oil tankers attempting to pass through the unsafe southern route of the Strait of Hormuz were stopped after explosions caused extensive fires aboard them.” Published in Dawn, July 22nd, 2026
- Security22 Jul, 10:56
İran’ın dağın altındaki nükleer tesisi ABD’nin hedefinde: 'Kazma Dağı'nda ne var?
ABD Başkanı Donald Trump, İran’ın Natanz Nükleer Tesisi yakınlarında bir dağın altında inşa ettiği ve “Kazma Dağı” olarak bilinen tesisi “çok yakında ve ağır biçimde” vurabileceklerini açıkladı. Derinliği ve içeriği tam olarak bilinmeyen tesisin, ABD’nin en güçlü sığınak delici bombalarına karşı dahi dayanıklı olabileceği belirtiliyor.
- Security22 Jul, 12:05
ABD saldırıları sürerken İran’daki kayıplar artıyor: 53 ölü, 592 yaralı
ABD'nin 27 Haziran'dan bu yana İran'a düzenlediği saldırılarda hayatını kaybedenlerin sayısının 53, yaralananların ise 592 olduğu bildirildi.
- Security22 Jul, 12:01
Iran denies existence of nuclear facility at Kolang Mountain
Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei accused Washington of using Kolang Mountain as a pretext to justify aggression and sabotage.
- Security22 Jul, 21:27
ABD’den İran'ın Huzistan eyaletine füze saldırısı: 2 ölü
İran'ın Huzistan eyaletinde ABD tarafından düzenlendiği belirtilen füze saldırılarında ilk belirlemelere göre 2 kişi hayatını kaybetti.
- Security23 Jul, 04:00
ABD’nin yeni hedefi Kazma Dağı: İran’ın yer altındaki kalesi
ABD Başkanı Trump’ın “Vuracağız” çıkışıyla hedef gösterdiği İran’ın en korunaklı nükleer adresi Kazma Dağı, Washington ve Tahran hattındaki krizin en kritik başlıklarından biri haline geldi. İşte konumundan önemine, hedef alınma ihtimalinden Tahran’ın olası yanıtına kadar merak edilen dört soru, dört cevap.
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ABD-İran Mutabakatına Rağmen İsrail'den Lübnan'a Kanlı Saldırı: 4 Ölü
İsrail ordusu, ABD ile İran arasında sağlanan ateşkes mutabakatına ve mevcut ateşkese rağmen, Lübnan'ın güneyindeki Nebatiye kentine bağlı Meyfedun ve Şevkin beldelerinde üç aracı insansız hava aracıyla vurdu. Saldırıda dört kişi hayatını kaybetti. ABD Başkanı Donald Trump, İran'la bir ateşkes anlaşmasına varıldığını ve Hürmüz Boğazı'ndaki ablukanın sona erdiğini açıklamış, Tahran ise teklifi incelediğini bildirmişti. Buna karşın İsrail, Lübnan'ın güneyindeki 29 belde için tahliye uyarıları yaparak Beyrut'un Dahiye bölgesine hava saldırıları düzenledi. AB, Lübnan'ın ateşkes kapsamına alınması gerektiğini vurgularken BM çatışmalarda düşüş gözlendiğini belirtti. Saldırı, ABD-İran hattında ilerleyen diplomatik sürecin sahadaki kırılganlığını ortaya koyuyor. İsrail'in operasyonlarına devam etmesi, varılan mutabakatın kapsayıcılığına yönelik soru işaretlerini artırırken, Lübnan'da sivil kayıplar ve altyapı hasarı derinleşiyor. Uluslararası aktörler, kalıcı bir ateşkes için Lübnan'ın da sürece dahil edilmesi çağrısında bulunuyor.
300 olay4 sa önce - Ortak aktörcanlı
İsrail'in 1915 Kararına Ankara ve Bakü'den Sert Tepki: 'Kendi Suçunu Örtbas Çabası'
İsrail hükümeti, Dışişleri Bakanı Gideon Sa'ar'ın girişimiyle 1915 olaylarını 'Ermeni soykırımı' olarak tanıdı. Karar, İsrail'in Gazze'deki askerî operasyonları nedeniyle Uluslararası Adalet Divanı'nda soykırım suçlamasıyla yargılandığı bir dönemde alındı. Türkiye, bu adımın tarihî gerçeklerle bağdaşmadığını ve İsrail'in kendi suçlarını örtbas etme çabası olduğunu savundu. Dışişleri Bakanlığı, İsrail'in Filistin halkına yönelik sistematik zulmünü vurgulayarak kararı siyasi ve geçersiz saydı. Azerbaycan da İsrail'in bu kararını 'ciddi endişe verici' bularak kınadı ve tarihî olguların çarpıtıldığını belirtti. Bakü, bölgesel bölünmeleri derinleştirdiği gerekçesiyle kararın yeniden gözden geçirilmesini istedi. İsrail ile müttefik olmasına rağmen en yakın partneri Türkiye olan Azerbaycan'ın bu çıkışı, iki ülke ilişkilerinde gerilime yol açabileceğinin sinyalini verdi. Karar, diplomatik çevrelerde İsrail'in Türkiye'ye yönelik bir hamlesi olarak da değerlendiriliyor.
281 olay2 sa önce - Ortak aktörcanlı
Zelenskyy Askeri Komutayı Değiştirdi, Rusya’nın Büyük Saldırısı Can Aldı
Ukrayna Devlet Başkanı Volodimir Zelenskyy, ülkedeki haftalık protestoların ardından ordu komutanını görevden aldı. Bu değişiklik, 2022’deki tam ölçekli işgalden bu yana en büyük siyasi krizlerden birine işaret ederken, Zelenskyy aynı günlerde Rusya’nın 48 saat içinde büyük bir füze ve insansız hava aracı saldırısı başlatacağı uyarısında bulundu. Ayrıca Moskova’nın sonbaharda geniş çaplı seferberlik hazırlığında olduğunu ve Rus kayıplarının asker alımını aştığını açıkladı. Rusya, belirtilen süre içinde Ukrayna genelinde yoğun saldırılar düzenledi; 70’ten fazla füze ve 280 İHA fırlatıldı. Başkent Kiev dahil birçok bölgede en az 14 sivil hayatını kaybetti, aralarında çocukların da bulunduğu çok sayıda yaralı var. Rusya Savunma Bakanlığı, saldırıların askerî havaalanları, savunma sanayi tesisleri ve lojistik merkezleri hedef aldığını, ayrıca Karadeniz’de Ukrayna’nın askerî yük taşıyan gemilerine yönelik ayrı bir operasyon yapıldığını duyurdu. Ukrayna ise Rusya topraklarına insansız hava aracı taarruzlarıyla karşılık verdi: Ryazan petrol rafinerisi ile online perakende devi Wildberries’e ait depolara saldırılar düzenlendi. Diplomatik cephede Zelenskyy, ABD Başkanı Donald Trump ile Beyaz Saray’da görüşerek Patriot füzelerinin ortak üretimini ele aldı; Polonya Başbakanı Tusk’a da planlanan büyük saldırı hakkında bilgi verdi. Rusya ise İngiltere’yi Ukrayna’ya Gripen savaş uçakları vermesi halinde sonuçları konusunda uyardı ve sözcüleri aracılığıyla Batı’nın Ukrayna’yı bir ‘koçbaşı’ olarak kullandığını öne sürdü.
Rusya121 olay13 sa önce - Ortak aktör
İran, ABD ve İsrail'in Denetim Anlaşması Kapsamındaki Nükleer Tesislere Saldırılarını Kınadı
İran'ın Uluslararası Atom Enerjisi Kurumu (IAEA) Guvernörler Kurulu toplantısındaki delegasyonu, ABD ve İsrail'in Denetim Anlaşması kapsamındaki nükleer tesislere yönelik saldırılarını kınadı. Tahran’ın 6 Haziran’da yaptığı açıklamaya göre, söz konusu saldırılar uluslararası denetim altındaki tesisleri hedef aldı. İran, saldırıların nükleer silahların yayılmasını önleme rejimine zarar verdiğini savundu. Denetim Anlaşması, Nükleer Silahların Yayılmasının Önlenmesi Anlaşması (NPT) çerçevesinde IAEA’nın nükleer faaliyetlerin barışçıl amaçlı olduğunu doğrulamasını sağlar. Bu kapsamdaki tesislere yapılan müdahaleler, hem uluslararası hukuk açısından hem de bölgesel güvenlik bağlamında ciddi sonuçlar doğurabilir. İran’ın tepkisi, özellikle kendi nükleer programıyla ilgili uzun süredir devam eden gerilimlerin IAEA zemininde yeni bir boyut kazandığını gösteriyor. İran’ın bu çıkışı, ABD ve İsrail ile yaşanan diplomatik çatışmanın kurumsal platforma taşınması olarak değerlendirilebilir. Aynı zamanda Tahran, nükleer anlaşma müzakerelerinin sürdüğü bir dönemde uluslararası kamuoyunu yanına çekmeyi hedefliyor. Gelişme, IAEA’nın tarafsızlık ilkesi ve nükleer denetim mekanizmasının geleceği açısından da önem taşıyor.
İran79 olay28 Haz - Ortak aktör
ABD, Minuteman III Füzesinin Planlı Test Fırlatmasını Gerçekleştirdi
ABD Hava Kuvvetleri, 20 Mayıs’ta California’daki Vandenberg Uzay Kuvvetleri Üssü’nden nükleer kapasiteli bir Minuteman III kıtalararası balistik füzesinin test fırlatmasını yaptı. Yetkililer, fırlatmanın yıllar öncesinden planlanmış, rutin bir deneme olduğunu ve güncel dünya olaylarına yanıt niteliği taşımadığını vurguladı. ABD Hava Kuvvetleri Küresel Taarruz Komutanlığı Başkanı General Stephen Davis, bu tür testlerin füze kuvvetlerinin durumunu ve hazırlık seviyesini doğruladığını belirtti. Minuteman III, ABD’nin kara konuşlu stratejik nükleer caydırıcılığının belkemiğini oluşturuyor. Rutin testler, silah sisteminin güvenilirliğini ve etkinliğini garanti altına almak amacıyla düzenli aralıklarla gerçekleştiriliyor. Bu fırlatma, küresel güvenlik ortamındaki gerilimlere rağmen ABD’nin caydırıcılık altyapısının öngörülebilir ve planlı şekilde sürdürüldüğünü gösteriyor. Her ne kadar test nükleer başlık taşımasa da, uluslararası kamuoyunda nükleer silahların modernizasyonu ve jeopolitik krizler bağlamında yankı buldu. ABD’li yetkililer, denemenin uzun süredir planlandığını ve Rusya’nın Ukrayna’daki savaşı veya diğer güncel olaylarla bağlantılı olmadığını özellikle belirtti. Bu açıklamalar, yanlış anlamaları ve tırmanmayı önleme çabası olarak değerlendiriliyor.
ABD2 olay20 May